1. Ukuqonda i-Avareji yokuHamba elula (SMA)
The Elula avareji Ukuhambisa (SMA) sisixhobo esibalulekileyo kwi trader's arsenal, esebenza njengebhakana kulwandle oluxokozelayo lwe okungazinzi kweemalike. Ligorha elingazicingeliyo lohlalutyo lobugcisa, libonelela ngomgca ogudisiweyo oncedayo traders ukuqonda okusisiseko phakathi kwengxolo yokuhla kwexabiso lemihla ngemihla.
Embindini wayo, i-SMA lubalo lwe-arithmetic oluthe ngqo. Ibalwa ngokudibanisa awona maxabiso amva nje (afana nokuvala amaxabiso ngaphezulu kwenani elixeliweyo lexesha) kwaye emva koko yahlule eso simbuku ngenani lamaxesha. Umgca obangelwayo emva koko ucwangciswe kwitshathi, unikezela ukubonakaliswa okubonakalayo kwexabiso eliphakathi kwelo xesha.
Elinye lamandla aphambili e-SMA lilo ukuguquguquka. Inokuhlengahlengiswa kwiizakhelo zexesha ezahlukeneyo, iyenze isebenze kuzo zombini iintsuku zexesha elifutshane traders kunye nabatyali-mali bexesha elide. I-SMA emfutshane iya kubambelela ngokusondeleyo kwisenzo sexabiso langoku, iyenze ilungele ukuchonga iintsingiselo zexesha elifutshane. Kwelinye icala, i-SMA ende igudisa ukuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane, inika umfanekiso ocacileyo wendlela yexesha elide.
Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuba i-SMA yinto isalathisi sokushiyeka. Isekwe kumaxabiso adlulileyo kwaye ke ithande ukusabela kancinci kutshintsho lwamva nje lwexabiso. Le lag ingaba zombini amandla kunye nobuthathaka. Kwelinye icala, inceda ukuhluza ukuguquguquka okuncinci kwamaxabiso, ukwenza indlela esisiseko icace. Kwelinye icala, kunokubangela ukulibaziseka ekwenziweni komqondiso, okunokukhokelela ekungeneni kade okanye ekuphumeni.
Ukutolika i-SMA bubuchule obuza nokuziqhelanisa. Ukunyuka kwe-SMA kubonisa ukunyuka, ngelixa i-SMA ehlayo ibonisa ukuhla. Xa ixabiso liwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA, ingaba ngumqondiso we-bullish, kwaye xa iwela ngaphantsi, ingaba ngumqondiso we-bearish. Nangona kunjalo, le miqondiso kufuneka ihlale isetyenziswa ngokubambisana nezinye izixhobo zokuhlalutya zobugcisa ukuqinisekisa ukufaneleka kwazo kunye nokunciphisa ingozi yemiqondiso yobuxoki.
I-SMA ingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga inkxaso kunye nokumelana namanqanaba. Lawa ngamanqanaba exabiso apho ixabiso livame ukubuyisela emva kokuhla (inkxaso) okanye ukurhoxisa emva kwangaphambili (ukuchasana). I-SMA ihlala isebenza njengenkxaso eguquguqukayo okanye inqanaba lokumelana, kunye nexabiso lokunyuka okanye ukutsala umva kumgca we-SMA.
Kwindawo yorhwebo, i-Simple Moving Average ifana nekhampasi ethembekileyo, ekhokelayo. traders kumanzi agudileyo emarike. Sisixhobo esinokuthi, xa sisetyenziswa ngobuchule nokuqonda, sikhanyise indlela eya kwingeniso trades.
1.1. Inkcazo ye-SMA
I-Simple Moving Average ibalwa ngokudibanisa amaxabiso esixhobo ngaphezulu kwenani elichaziweyo lamaxesha kwaye emva koko wahlule itotali ngenani lamaxesha.
Umzekelo, ukuba ubufuna ukubala i-SMA yeentsuku ezi-5 kwisitokhwe, ungadibanisa amaxabiso okuvala kwiintsuku ezi-5 zokugqibela uze wahlule ngesi-5.
Nantsi le ifomula:
SMA = (P1 + P2 + P3 + ... + Pn) / n
phi:
- P1, P2, P3, β¦, Pn ngamaxabiso exesha ngalinye, kunye
- n linani lamaxesha.
I-Simple Moving Average ibonelela ngomgca ogudisiweyo onokunceda traders chonga iintsingiselo ngokunciphisa ingxolo yokuhla kwexabiso lemihla ngemihla. Xa ixabiso lingaphezulu komgca we-SMA, lingabonisa ukunyuka, kwaye xa ixabiso lingaphantsi komgca we-SMA, lingabonisa ukuhla. Nangona kunjalo, oku kufuneka kusetyenziswe kunye nezinye izikhombisi zoqikelelo oluchanekileyo.
1.2. Isebenza njani i-SMA
The Umndilili wokuHamba ngokuLula (i-SMA) isebenza kumgaqo wokulinganisa inani elithile lamanqaku edatha adlulileyo. Oku kwenziwa ukuze kuthomalalise ukuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane kunye nokuqaqambisa iintsingiselo okanye imijikelo yexesha elide. Ifomula yokubala i-SMA ithe ngqo: sisimbuku samaxabiso okuvala kwinani elithile lexesha, lahlulwe ngenani lamaxesha. Umzekelo, ukuba ubala i-SMA yeentsuku ezili-10, ungadibanisa amaxabiso okuvala eentsuku ezili-10 zokugqibela kwaye wahlule nge-10.
Umgca we-SMA ocetywayo kwitshati ubonelela ngomboniso wembali wexabiso eliphakathi. Lo mgca unyuka okanye uhla ngokusekwe kwicala leentshukumo zexabiso lesitokhwe. Umgca we-SMA okhulayo ubonisa ukunyuka, ngelixa umgca we-SMA owelayo ubonisa i-downtrend.
The Kolluthey isebenza njengendawo engundoqo yereferensi ye traders. Xa ixabiso liwela ngaphezu komgca we-SMA, ingaba ngumqondiso we-bullish, kwaye xa uwela ngaphantsi, unokuba ngumqondiso we-bearish. Nangona kunjalo, ezi zibonakaliso azikho inkohliso kwaye kufuneka zisetyenziswe ngokubambisana nezinye izikhombisi zobugcisa kunye uhlalutyo oluphambili iziphumo ezilungileyo.
Eyona nto ibalulekileyo, Kolluthey sisixhobo esisebenza ngeendlela ezininzi esinokulungiswa ukuze sihambelane neendlela ezahlukeneyo zokurhweba kunye namaxesha. Nokuba ulusuku trader ukujonga itshathi yemizuzu emi-5 okanye umtyali-mali wexesha elide ehlalutya iitshathi zeveki, i-SMA inokubonelela ngengqiqo ebalulekileyo kwiindlela zemarike.
2. Ukusebenzisa i-SMA kuBuchule bokuRhweba
I-SMA, okanye i-Avareji yokuHamba elula, sisixhobo esinamandla ezandleni a trader, enikezela ngembono entsha kwiindlela zemarike. Yingcamango ekulula ukuyiqonda kwaye isebenza ngendlela emangalisayo, iyenza ibe yeyona nto iphambili kwabaninzi izicwangciso zorhwebo.
Embindini wayo, i-SMA yi-avareji yenani elithile lamaxesha, ephucula idatha yexabiso ukwenza umgca traders inokusebenzisa ukuchonga iintsingiselo zemarike ezinokubakho. Kodwa uyisebenzisa njani kanye i-SMA kwizicwangciso zokurhweba?
Okokuqala, traders ihlala isebenzisa i-SMA njenge umgca wesignali. Xa ixabiso liwela ngaphezulu kwe-SMA, inokuba luphawu lwe-bullish, ebonisa ukuba inokuba lixesha elifanelekileyo lokuthenga. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, xa ixabiso liwela ngaphantsi kwe-SMA, inokuba ngumqondiso we-bearish, ebonisa ukuba ingaba lixesha lokuthengisa.
Okwesibini, i-SMA ingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga inkxaso kunye nokumelana namanqanaba. Kwimarike ye-uptrend, umgca we-SMA uhlala usebenza njengenqanaba lenkxaso apho ixabiso lidla ngokunyuka. Ngokufanayo, kwimarike ye-downtrend, i-SMA inokusebenza njengenqanaba lokumelana apho ixabiso lizama ukugqobhoza.
Gqi beleni, tradeI-rs ihlala isebenzisa ii-SMA ezimbini ezinamaxesha ahlukeneyo (njengeentsuku ezingama-50 kunye ne-SMA yeentsuku ezingama-200) ukuvelisa imiqondiso yokurhweba. Esi sicwangciso, eyaziwa ngokuba SMA crossover, kubandakanya ukuthenga xa ixesha elifutshane le-SMA liwela ngaphezu kwexesha elide le-SMA (i-bullish crossover) kunye nokuthengisa xa ixesha elifutshane le-SMA liwela ngaphantsi kwexesha elide le-SMA (i-bearish crossover).
Kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuba ngelixa i-SMA sisixhobo esinamandla, ayinakusilela. Isetyenziswe ngokufanelekileyo ngokubambisana nezinye izalathisi zobugcisa kunye nezicwangciso zokuqinisekisa ukufundwa okuchaneke ngakumbi kweentsingiselo zemarike. Ukurhweba lishishini eliyingozi, kwaye kubalulekile ukuqonda nokulawula ezi ngozi ngokufanelekileyo.
2.1. SMA Crossover Strategy
Kwi-galaxy enkulu yezicwangciso zokurhweba, i SMA Crossover Strategy ikhanya njengenkwenkwezi ekhokelayo kubo bobabini abaqalayo nabanamava traders. Esi sicwangciso siphakamisa amandla e-Simple Moving Average (SMA), isixhobo esilungisa idatha yexabiso ngokuhlaziya rhoqo umyinge wexabiso kwixesha elithile.
Isicwangciso se-SMA Crossover silula ngokukhohlisa. Ibandakanya imigca emibini ye-SMA: a ixesha elifutshane SMA (ngokuqhelekileyo iintsuku ezingama-50) kunye a ixesha elide SMA (kaninzi iintsuku ezingama-200). 'Ukunqumla' kwenzeka xa le migca mibini ihlangana. Ukuba i-SMA yexesha elifutshane iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA yexesha elide, i- uphawu lwe-bullish ebonisa ukuba inokuba lixesha elifanelekileyo lokuthenga. Ngokuchaseneyo, ukuba i-SMA yexesha elifutshane iwela ngaphantsi kwe-SMA yexesha elide, i- Umqondiso we-bearish, ebonisa ukuba ingaba lixesha lokuthengisa.
Ubuhle besi sicwangciso bulula kunye nokuguquguquka. Ithe tye ngokwaneleyo ukuba abaqalayo bayibambe ngokukhawuleza, kodwa ibe bhetyebhetye ngokwaneleyo ukuze ilungiswe traders ukulungisa ngokwesitayile sabo sokurhweba kunye nokunyamezela umngcipheko. Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuba ngelixa i-SMA Crossover Strategy inokuba sisixhobo esinamandla kwi-arsenal yakho yokurhweba, ayifezekanga. Isetyenziswe ngokufanelekileyo ngokubambisana nezinye izikhombisi kunye nezicwangciso zokuqinisekisa imiqondiso kunye nokunciphisa umngcipheko.
IiPros and Cons of the SMA Crossover Strategy
- eziluncedo: Kulula ukuyiqonda kunye nokuphumeza, ukulungelelaniswa neendlela ezahlukeneyo zokurhweba kunye namaxesha amisiweyo, kunokubonelela ngokucacileyo ukuthenga nokuthengisa iimpawu.
- bendlela: Inokuvelisa imiqondiso yobuxoki kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo, imo eshiyekileyo ye-SMA inokukhokelela kwimiqondiso yokulibaziseka, engasebenziyo kwiimarike ezisecaleni.
Ngaphandle kwezi zinto zingahambi kakuhle, iSicwangciso se-SMA Crossover sihlala sisithandwa phakathi traders kwihlabathi jikelele. Ngokuziqhelanisa kunye nomonde, inokunceda ekukhanyiseni indlela ehlala imfiliba yeendlela zentengiso, ibonelela ngengqiqo ebalulekileyo ukwazisa izigqibo zakho zorhwebo.
2.2. I-SMA enezinye izalathisi
Ukuvula amandla e-SMA (I-Avareji yokuMoving elula) iba yimincili ngakumbi xa idityaniswe nezinye izalathisi zokurhweba. Le ndlela inamacala amaninzi inokuphucula kakhulu isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba, ibonelele ngombono obanzi ngakumbi weendlela zemarike kunye namanqaku anokubakho okungena kunye nokuphuma.
Thatha, umzekelo, ifayile ye- Relative Index Ukomelela (RSI). Xa isetyenziswe ngokubambisana ne-SMA, inokunceda ukuchonga iimeko ezithengiweyo okanye ezithengisiweyo. Khawucinge ukuba umgca we-SMA uwela ngaphezu komgca wexabiso, ubonisa indlela enokuthi inyuke. Ngoku, ukuba i-RSI ingaphantsi kwe-30 (imeko ethengisiweyo), ingaba ngumqondiso onamandla wokuthenga.
Ngokunjalo, i IMACD (Ukuhambisa umndilili wokuDibana kokungafani) sesinye isixhobo esinamandla sokudibanisa ne-SMA. Esi sibonakaliso sibonisa utshintsho kumandla, indlela, ngesantya, kunye nobude bexesha. Xa umgca we-MACD uwela ngaphezulu komgca wesignali ngelixa i-SMA ibonisa ukuthambekela okunyukayo, ingaba lixesha elifanelekileyo lokungena kwimarike.
Bollinger uZintya lelinye iqabane elibalaseleyo le-SMA. Iibhendi eziphezulu kunye nezantsi zingasebenza njengenkxaso enamandla kunye namanqanaba okumelana. Ukuba ixabiso lichukumisa ibhendi esezantsi kwaye i-SMA iyakhula, inokucebisa ithuba lokuthenga elilungileyo.
Khumbula, le yimizekelo nje. Kukho ezinye izalathisi ezininzi onokuthi uzidibanise ne-SMA ukucokisa isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba. Undoqo kukulinga, umva, kwaye ufumane indibaniselwano esebenza kakuhle kwisitayile sakho sokurhweba kunye nokunyamezela umngcipheko. Kodwa inye into eqinisekileyo: xa isetyenziswe ngobulumko, i-SMA idityaniswe nezinye izalathisi inokuba sisixhobo esoyikekayo kumkhosi wakho wokurhweba.
2.3. Ukukhetha iXesha le-SMA eliLungileyo
Kwindawo yokurhweba, ukhetho lwexesha elililo eliLula i-Simple Moving Average (SMA) sisigqibo esibalulekileyo esinokuchaphazela kakhulu iziphumo zakho zorhwebo. Ayikokukhetha inani elingenamkhethe kwaye nethemba lelona lihle. Endaweni yoko, imalunga nokuqonda amandla emarike, iinjongo zakho zokurhweba, kunye nendlela ahlukeneyo amaxesha e-SMA anokunxibelelana ngayo nezi zinto.
Amaxesha amafutshane e-SMA, njengeentsuku ezi-5 okanye ezili-10, zinokuba zilungele ixesha elifutshane traders ifuna ukwenza imali kwiintshukumo ezikhawulezayo zentengiso. Ezi SMA zinovakalelo kakhulu kutshintsho lwamaxabiso, zibonelela ngomelo olusondeleyo lweentsingiselo zangoku zemarike. Nangona kunjalo, bayakwazi ukuvelisa iimpawu zobuxoki ngenxa ye-reactivity ephezulu yokuguquguquka kwexabiso.
Amaxesha amade e-SMA, njenge-50, i-100, okanye i-200 iintsuku, azikhathaleli kakhulu ukuguquguquka kwexabiso lemihla ngemihla, ukubonelela ngokubonisa ngokucacileyo kunye nokuzinza ngakumbi kwendlela yexabiso. Ziluncedo ixesha elide traders abanomdla ngakumbi ekuchongeni utshintsho olukhulu lwentsingiselo kuneentshukumo zamaxabiso zexesha elifutshane.
Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba akukho 'ubungakanani obufanayo-bonke' xa kuziwa ekukhetheni ixesha elifanelekileyo le-SMA. Eyona ndlela ilungileyo kukulinga amaxesha ahlukeneyo e-SMA kwaye ubone ukuba yeyiphi ehambelana kakuhle nesimbo sakho sokurhweba kunye nokunyamezela umngcipheko.
Khumbula, i-SMA sisixhobo sokukunceda wenze izigqibo zokurhweba unolwazi. Ayisiyo ibhola yekristale enokuthi iqikelele iintshukumo zentengiso ngokuqiniseka ngokupheleleyo. Hlala uqwalasela ezinye izikhombisi zemarike kunye nezinto ngaphambi kokuba wenze isigqibo sokurhweba.
3. Imingcipheko kunye neMinyino ye-SMA
Nangona Umndilili wokuHamba ngokuLula (i-SMA) sisixhobo esinamandla a trader's arsenal, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuba iza neseti yayo yomngcipheko kunye nemida. Omnye wemida ephambili kukuba ngokwemvelo a isalathisi sokushiyeka. Oku kuthetha ukuba isekwe kumaxabiso adlulileyo kwaye ke ngoko inokubonelela ngolwazi malunga noko sele kwenzekile, hayi okuya kwenzeka kwixesha elizayo. Oku kunokukhokelela ekungeneni kade trades, okunokwenzeka ukuba uphoswe kwiinzuzo ezibalulekileyo.
Omnye umngcipheko ophawulekayo yi uphawu lobuxoki. I-SMA ngamanye amaxesha inokuvelisa ukuthenga okanye ukuthengisa isignali engabonakali kwindlela yonke. Umzekelo, i-SMA inokubonisa imeko ye-bullish xa imeko yentengiso iyonke ikwi-bearish, ekhokelela kwiimpazamo ezibiza kakhulu. Oku kuyinyani ngokukodwa kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo apho ukuguquguquka kwexabiso kunokuphazamisa umyinge.
Ngaphezu koko, i-SMA i uvakalelo kwixesha elikhethiweyo. I-SMA yeentsuku ze-50 iya kunika iimpawu ezihluke kakhulu xa kuthelekiswa ne-SMA yeentsuku ze-200. Ukuba ixesha lifutshane kakhulu, i-SMA inokuba novakalelo kakhulu kutshintsho oluncinci lwamaxabiso, ibangele ukuthengwa rhoqo kunye nokuthengisa iimpawu. Kwelinye icala, ukuba ixesha lide kakhulu, i-SMA isenokungabi naluvelwano, inokuthi iphose utshintsho olubalulekileyo lwendlela.
Ekugqibeleni, i-SMA ayithethi ngefuthe lomthamo. Iintsuku ezimbini ezinexabiso elifanayo lokuvala kodwa imiqulu eyahlukileyo iya kuba nefuthe elifanayo kwi-SMA. Oku kunokuba yingxaki njengoko umthamo usoloko unika imikhondo ebalulekileyo malunga namandla omzila.
Ngelixa le mingcipheko kunye nezithintelo ngokuqinisekileyo zingenzi i-SMA ibe lilize, igxininisa ukubaluleka kokuyisebenzisa ngokubambisana nezinye izixhobo zohlalutyo lobugcisa kunye nezalathi. Indlela elungeleleneyo, enolwazi ekurhwebeni iya kuhlala ivelisa iziphumo ezilungileyo.
3.1. Lagging Isalathisi
Izikhombisi ezihambayo zisisixhobo esibalulekileyo kwi-toolkit yokurhweba, enikezela ngembono yokubuyela emva kweentsingiselo zemarike. Esinye sezona zalathisi ezisetyenziswa ngokuqhelekileyo yi-Simple Moving Average (SMA). I-SMA ibalwa ngokudibanisa amaxabiso exesha lokugqibela lika-'X' lokuvala kwaye ngoko ukwahlula-hlula elo nani ngo-X. Isiphumo ngumgca ogudileyo othi traders sebenzisa ukuqonda indlela yokuziphatha yangaphambili yemarike.
Ngelixa izikhombisi ezibambekayo zinokubonakala zingonwabi kangako kunezo zihamba phambili, zibonelela ngesiseko esiluqilima sedatha yembali. Le datha ibalulekile traders abasekela izicwangciso zabo kwiindlela zemarike ezidlulileyo. I-SMA, njengesalathisi sokulala, iyanceda traders ukuchonga ukuthenga okunokubakho kunye nokuthengisa iimpawu ezisekelwe kwiintshukumo zamaxabiso zembali.
I-SMA iluncedo kakhulu kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo, apho ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso kunokulahlekisa traders. Ngokulungisa idatha yexabiso, i-SMA ibonelela ngomfanekiso ocacileyo wendlela yonke. Oku kunokunceda trader benza izigqibo ezinolwazi ngakumbi, benciphisa umngcipheko wokwenza trades isekelwe kwi-spikes yexabiso lexesha elifutshane okanye idiphu.
Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba njengazo zonke izikhombisi ze-lagging, i-SMA inemida yayo. Isekelwe kwidatha edlulileyo, ngoko ayikwazi ukuqikelela ukunyakaza kweemarike kwixesha elizayo. Ikwacotha ukuphendula kutshintsho lwamaxabiso lwamva nje, olunokukhokelela ekungeneni kade okanye kwiimpawu zokuphuma. Ngoko ke, ngelixa i-SMA sisixhobo esibalulekileyo, kufuneka sisetyenziswe ngokubambisana nezinye izikhombisi kunye neendlela zokuhlalutya iziphumo ezilungileyo.
Ukwenza uninzi lwe-SMA, traders kufuneka ithathele ingqalelo ukuyisebenzisa njengenxalenye yesicwangciso esibanzi sorhwebo. Oku kunokubandakanya ukudibanisa i-SMA kunye izikhokelo ezikhokelayo, njenge-Relative Strength Index (RSI), ukufumana umfanekiso opheleleyo wemarike. Ngokwenza njalo, tradeI-rs inokunyusa amandla azo zombini izikhombisi ezishiyekileyo kunye nezikhokelayo, ziphucula amandla azo okwenza inzuzo. trades.
3.2. Iimpawu zobuxoki
Kwihlabathi lokuthengisa, ayizizo zonke iimpawu ezenziwe ngokulinganayo. Ezinye, njengomnqamlezo wegolide okanye umnqamlezo wokufa, zinokuba zizalathisi ezinamandla zenkunzi yenkomo okanye ibhere ezayo. Kodwa abanye, njengemiqondiso yobuxoki eyenzekayo ngamanye amaxesha xa usebenzisa i Umndilili wokuHamba ngokuLula (i-SMA), inokukhokela traders alahlekile ukuba abalumkanga.
Enye yeempawu zobuxoki eziqhelekileyo yi isabhokhwe. Oku kwenzeka xa imarike iguquguquka kwaye ixabiso liwela rhoqo ngaphezulu nangaphantsi komgca we-SMA, ukuvelisa i-flurry yokuthenga nokuthengisa iimpawu ezinokudida. traders kwaye ikhokelele ekwenzeni izigqibo ezigwenxa. Ezi zibonakaliso zobuxoki zixhaphake ngokukodwa ngexesha lokungaqiniseki kweemarike okanye xa iziganeko ezinkulu zeendaba zibangela ukuguquka kwamaxabiso ngokukhawuleza.
Olunye uhlobo lomqondiso wobuxoki yi team. Ngenxa yokuba i-SMA ibalwa kusetyenziswa idatha yexesha elidlulileyo, ngamanye amaxesha inokucotha ukuphendula utshintsho olukhawulezayo kwixabiso. Oku kunokubangela ukuba i-SMA ibonise i-bullish trend xa ixabiso liwa ngokwenene, okanye ngokuphambene. Traders abathembele kuphela kwi-SMA ngezigqibo zabo zokurhweba banokuphela bethenga okanye bathengise ngexesha elingalunganga ukuba abayithatheli ngqalelo le lag.
Ke unokwenza njani traders ukuphepha le miqondiso yobuxoki? Enye indlela kukusebenzisa a ixesha elifutshane ye-SMA. Oku kunokwenza i-SMA iphendule ngakumbi kutshintsho lwamaxabiso lwamva nje kwaye inciphise ukubakho kwee-whips kunye ne-lags. Nangona kunjalo, inokunyusa umngcipheko wokurhweba ngokugqithisileyo, njengoko i-SMA iya kuvelisa imiqondiso emininzi iyonke.
Enye indlela kuku dibanisa i-SMA kunye nezinye izalathisi zobugcisa, njenge-Relative Strength Index (RSI) okanye i-Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Ezi zinokubonelela ngomongo owongezelelweyo kwaye zincede ziqinisekise ukuba uphawu olusuka kwi-SMA lunokuchaneka.
Ekugqibeleni, isitshixo sokuphepha iimpawu zobuxoki xa usebenzisa i-SMA kukuqonda imida yayo kwaye uyisebenzise njengenxalenye yesicwangciso esibanzi sokurhweba, kunokuba sithembele kuyo yedwa. Ngokwenza njalo, traders banokwenza izigqibo ezinolwazi ngakumbi kwaye bandise amathuba abo okuphumelela kwimarike.
3.3. Ukungasebenzi kakuhle kwiiMarike eziguquguqukayo
Iimarike eziguquguqukayo, ngelixa inikezela ngamathuba amaninzi, inokuba yindawo yokuzalisa ukungasebenzi. Oku kuyinyani ngakumbi xa usebenzisa i-avareji ehambayo elula (SMA) njengesixhobo sokurhweba. I-SMA, ngokobume bayo, sisalathiso esisemva. Ibala ixabiso eliphakathi kwixesha elithile, ngaloo ndlela igudisa ukuguquguquka kwexabiso kunye nokubonelela ngembono ecacileyo yendlela yonke.
Nangona kunjalo, kwimarike eguquguqukayo, le mpembelelo egudileyo ngamanye amaxesha inokufihla utshintsho olukhawulezayo lwexabiso olubonakalisa iimarike ezinjalo. Njengoko i-SMA isabela kutshintsho lwamaxabiso ngokulibaziseka, traders banokuzifumana besenza izigqibo ezisekelwe kulwazi oluphelelwe lixesha. Oku kunokukhokelela kumathuba alahlekileyo okanye, okubi ngakumbi, ekungeneni trades ngamaxabiso angafanelekanga.
Ukusabela kukuguquguquka kweemarike kulapho i-SMA inokubonisa imida yayo. Xa lide ixesha elisetyenziselwa i-SMA, kokukhona isabela kade kutshintsho lwamaxabiso. Oku kunokukhokelela ekungeneni kade okanye kwiimpawu zokuphuma. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ixesha elifutshane le-SMA liya kusabela ngokukhawuleza, kodwa linokuvelisa iimpawu ezingeyonyani njengoko isabela ekuguquguqukeni okuncinci kwamaxabiso.
Ukoyisa oku kungasebenzi kakuhle ifuna indlela eyahlukileyo. TradeI-rs inokuthathela ingqalelo ukusebenzisa indibaniselwano yexesha elahlukileyo le-SMA ukubamba zombini iintshukumo zexabiso lexesha elifutshane kunye neentsingiselo zexesha elide. Ukongeza, ukudibanisa nezinye izalathisi zobugcisa okanye uhlalutyo olusisiseko kwisicwangciso sakho sokurhweba kunokubonelela ngembono ebanzi ngakumbi yemarike, inceda ukunciphisa imida ye-SMA kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo.
Khumbula, zonke izixhobo zokurhweba zinamandla kunye nobuthathaka. Undoqo kukuqonda ezi, ukulungelelanisa isicwangciso sakho ngokufanelekileyo, kwaye uhlale ulungele ukungaqiniseki okukhoyo kweemarike.
4. Iingcebiso zokuRhweba nge-SMA eyimpumelelo
Ukuqonda iSiseko linyathelo lokuqala lorhwebo olusebenzayo lwe-SMA. I-Simple Moving Average (SMA) sisalathisi sobugcisa trader sebenzisa ukuchonga iintsingiselo. Ibalwa nge-avareji yenani elithile lamaxabiso adlulileyo. Oku kunciphisa ukuguquguquka kwexabiso, kwenza kube lula ukuyibona imeko.
Ukukhetha Ixesha Elilungileyo ibalulekile. Ubude be-SMA oyikhethayo buxhomekeke kwisitayile sakho sokurhweba. Ixesha elifutshane traders bahlala besebenzisa i-10 okanye i-20-day SMA, ngelixa ixesha elide traders bangakhetha i-50 okanye i-SMA yeentsuku ezingama-200. Khumbula, ixesha elide, kokukhona kubaluleke ngakumbi i-SMA.
Ukusebenzisa ii-SMA Crossovers inokubonisa amathuba okuthenga okanye okuthengisa. I-crossover ye-bullish yenzeke xa i-SMA yexesha elifutshane iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA yexesha elide, ebonisa ukuba kunokwenzeka ukunyuka. Ngokwahlukileyo, i-bearish crossover yenzeke xa i-SMA yexesha elifutshane iwela ngaphantsi kwe-SMA yexesha elide, ebonisa ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuhla.
Ukudibanisa i-SMA kunye nezinye izalathisi inokubonelela ngemiqondiso ethembekileyo. Ngelixa i-SMA isisixhobo esinamandla, ayinakusilela. Cinga ukuyisebenzisa kunye nezinye izalathisi ezifana ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI) okanye i-Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ukuqinisekisa iimpawu kunye nokunciphisa umngcipheko wobuxoki.
Ukuziqhelanisa noLawulo loMngcipheko ibalulekile kurhwebo lwe-SMA. Ngalo lonke ixesha useta iiodolo zelahleko yokunqanda ilahleko enokubakho kunye nemiyalelo yokuthatha inzuzo ukukhusela iinzuzo. Kwakhona, ungaze utyale imali ngaphezu kokuba unokukwazi ukulahlekelwa. Ukurhweba kuyingozi ngokwendalo, kwaye ngelixa i-SMA inokukunceda wenze izigqibo ezinolwazi, ayinakuqinisekisa ngengeniso.
Kwihlabathi lorhwebo lwe-SMA, Ukuhambelana ngundoqo. Namathela kweyakho cwangciso so shishino, naxa izinto zingahambi njengoko bekulindelekile. Izigqibo ezingokweemvakalelo zidla ngokukhokelela kwiimpazamo. Hlala uziqeqeshe, qhubeka ufunda, kwaye uhlengahlengise izicwangciso zakho njengoko ufumana amava amaninzi. Khumbula, urhwebo oluyimpumelelo lugqatso lomgama omde, hayi i-sprint.
4.1. Ukudibanisa i-SMA kunye nesenzo seXabiso
Ukudibanisa i-Simple Moving Average (SMA) kunye nesenzo seXabiso inokuba ngumdlalo wokutshintsha traders. Kufana nokudibanisa ukuchaneka kwewotshi yaseSwitzerland kunye ne-intuition ye-seasoned trader. I-SMA, ngokukwazi kwayo ukugudisa ingxolo yentengiso kwaye iveze umkhondo osisiseko, inika isiseko esiluqilima. Kodwa xa ugquma oku ngeNtshukumo yeXabiso-ixesha lokwenyani, ingxelo engahluzwanga yentengiso, uvula intsebenziswano enamandla.
Price Action kukubetha kwentliziyo kwimarike, ibali elikrwada, elingahlelwanga lonikezelo kunye nemfuno. Yeyona tradeImakroskopu ye-r, eveza utshintsho lomzuzu ngomzuzu kwimvakalelo. Idityaniswe ne-SMA, ibonelela ngeliso leentaka imbono yendlela yemarike kunye nokuqonda kwegranular kwipsychology yentengiso.
Masilichithe eli qhinga. Qala ngokuchonga umkhondo jikelele usebenzisa i-SMA yakho. Ukunyuka kwe-SMA kubonisa ukunyuka, ngelixa i-SMA ehlayo ibonisa ukuhla. Nje ukuba usungule umkhwa, jika ingqalelo yakho kwisenzo seXabiso. Jonga iipateni zexabiso eziqinisekisa umkhwa. Umzekelo, kwi-uptrend, unokubona uthotho lwezinto eziphakamileyo eziphakamileyo kunye nezisezantsi eziphezulu.
Kodwa umlingo wangempela uyenzeka xa i-SMA kunye ne-Price Action ingavumelani. Apha kulapho ungabona khona ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka. Ukuba i-SMA iyenyuka, kodwa iNtlawulo yeXabiso iqala ukwenza iindawo eziphakamileyo ezisezantsi kunye nezisezantsi ezisezantsi, zinokubonisa ukwehla okuzayo. Ngokwahlukileyo, i-SMA ewayo kunye neNtlawulo yeXabiso eyenza ukuphakama okuphezulu kunye nokuhla kunokucebisa ukunyuka okuzayo.
Khumbula, ukudibanisa i-SMA kunye nesenzo seXabiso asikokufumana 'okugqibeleleyo' trade. Imalunga nokufumana ukuqonda okunzulu kwemarike, ukuphucula ukwenza kwakho izigqibo, kwaye ekugqibeleni, uphucule ukusebenza kwakho kwezorhwebo. Licebo elifuna umonde, uqeqesho, kunye nokuzimisela funda ukusuka kwimarike. Kodwa kwabo bayisebenzisayo kakuhle, imivuzo inokuba mikhulu.
4.2. Ukusebenzisa ii-SMA ezininzi zoQinisekiso
Xa kuziwa ekurhwebeni, ukucaca ngundoqo. Enye yezona ndlela zisebenzayo zokufezekisa oku kukusebenzisa iMiyinge yokuHamba eMininzi elula (ii-SMA) zokuqinisekisa. Esi sicwangciso sibandakanya ukusebenzisa ii-SMA ezimbini okanye ngaphezulu ezinezakhelo zexesha ezahlukeneyo zokuqinisekisa imiqondiso yakho yokurhweba.
Umzekelo, ungasebenzisa a Iintsuku ezili-50 zeSMA kunye ne Iintsuku ezili-200 zeSMA. Xa i-SMA yeentsuku ezingama-50 iwela ngaphezulu kwe-SMA yeentsuku ezingama-200, luphawu olubonisa ukuba inokuba lixesha elifanelekileyo lokuthenga. Ngokwahlukileyo, xa i-SMA yeentsuku ezingama-50 iwela ngaphantsi kwe-SMA yeentsuku ezingama-200, luphawu lwe-bearish olubonisa ukuba inokuba lixesha lokuthengisa.
Yintoni eyenza ukusebenzisa ii-SMA ezininzi zibe namandla kangaka isiqinisekiso bayabonelela. Kufana nokuba nombono wesibini kwisigqibo sakho sokurhweba- xa zombini ii-SMA zikhomba kwicala elinye, unako trade ngokuzithemba ngakumbi. Kodwa khumbula, akukho qhinga lingenabuqhinga. Soloko uqwalasela ezinye iimeko zemarike kwaye usebenzise ilahleko yokuyeka ukulawula umngcipheko wakho ngokufanelekileyo.
Ngaphaya koko, unokuphinda uzame iifreyimu zamaxesha ahlukeneyo ukuze ubone ukuba zeziphi ezisebenza ngcono kwisitayile sakho sokurhweba. Abanye traders basenokukhetha ukusebenzisa i-SMA yeentsuku ezili-10 kunye neentsuku ezingama-20, ngelixa abanye basenokufumana i-SMA yeentsuku ezili-100 kunye neentsuku ezingama-200 isebenza ngakumbi. Isitshixo kuku vavanya kwaye uziqhelanise de ufumane ibhalansi egqibeleleyo ehambelana nendlela yakho yokurhweba.
Ngokomzekelo, makhe siqwalasele umzekelo. Masithi ixabiso lesitokhwe lijonge phezulu, kwaye zombini ii-SMA zakho zeentsuku ezingama-50 kunye neentsuku ezingama-200 nazo ziyenyuka. Oku kuya kuba luphawu olunamandla lokuba ukuthambekela okunyukayo kuya kuqhubeka. Kwelinye icala, ukuba ixabiso belihla kwaye zombini ii-SMA zisehla, inokuba luphawu lokuba ukuhla kusenokuqhubeka.
Ngokwenyani, ukusebenzisa ii-SMA ezininzi zokuqinisekisa sisixhobo esilula kodwa esinamandla esinokukunceda wenze izigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi. Inika umfanekiso ocacileyo wendlela yokuthengisa kwaye inokwandisa kakhulu amathuba akho okuphumelela kwihlabathi lokurhweba.
4.3. Ukudibanisa i-SMA kunye noLawulo loMngcipheko
Umndilili wokuHamba ngokuLula (i-SMA) sisixhobo esinamandla a trader's arsenal, kodwa ukusebenza kwayo kungaphuculwa kakhulu xa kudityaniswa nezicwangciso zolawulo lomngcipheko olomeleleyo. Le ndlela iqinisekisa kungekuphela nje amathuba okwenza inzuzo kodwa kunye nokukhuselwa kwenkunzi yakho.
I-SMA ibonelela ngomfanekiso ocacileyo wendlela yonke yemarike, ivumela traders ukuchonga iindawo ezinokungena kunye nokuphuma. Nangona kunjalo, imarike ayinakucingelwa kwaye nezona zibonakaliso ezinokwethenjelwa ngamanye amaxesha zingaphumeleli. Kulapho ulawulo lwengozi Imalunga nokumisela ilahleko yokuyeka kwaye uthathe amanqanaba engeniso, ukulawula utyalo-mali lwakho ngokwe trade, kunye nokuguqula ipotifoliyo yakho.
Yeka ilahleko zibalulekile kulawulo lomngcipheko. Ngokumisela a ukuyeka ukulahleka, unciphisa ilahleko yakho enokwenzeka ukuba imarike ihamba ngokuchasene nesikhundla sakho. I-SMA inokukukhokela ekumiseleni la manqanaba. Umzekelo, ukuba ukwindawo ende, unokuseta ilahleko yakho yokuyeka ngezantsi nje komgca we-SMA.
Thatha amanqanaba enzuzo zibaluleke ngokulinganayo. La ngamanqaku apho uvala khona isikhundla sakho ukuze ukhusele iingeniso zakho. Kwakhona, i-SMA inokuba sisikhokelo esiluncedo. Ukuba ixabiso belisoloko lingaphezulu komgca we-SMA kwaye lize liwele ngaphantsi kwalo, oku kunokuba luphawu lokuthatha inzuzo yakho.
Ulawulo lotyalo-mali ibandakanya ukwenza isigqibo sokuba ingakanani inkunzi yakho onokuyibeka emngciphekweni kwinto nganye trade. Umthetho oqhelekileyo wosithupha kukubeka emngciphekweni ungabi ngaphezu kwe-2% yenkunzi yakho enye trade. Ngale ndlela, nokuba unoluhlu lwelahleko, inkunzi yakho ayisayi kucinywa.
ukohlulwa ngomnye umba ophambili wolawulo lomngcipheko. Ngokusasaza utyalo-mali lwakho kwii-asethi ezahlukeneyo, wehlisa umngcipheko we-asethi enye ecima ipotfoliyo yakho. I-SMA inokukunceda ukuba uchonge ukuba zeziphi ii-asethi ezihamba phambili, zinceda kwizigqibo zokwahluka.
Ukubandakanya i-SMA kunye nolawulo lomngcipheko ayiphuculi nje isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba kodwa ikwakhusela inkunzi yakho. Yindibaniselwano enamandla enokukhokelela kwimpumelelo yorhwebo engaguqukiyo.
