1. Ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kweMarike
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike, igama elibangela ukuba abaninzi bangcangcazele traders, yinxalenye yendalo yehlabathi yorhwebo. Kukuphindaphinda kunye nobukhulu botshintsho lwexabiso olubonwa kuyo nayiphi na imarike enikiweyo, ehlala ijongwa njengesalathiso se ingozi ababandakanyekayo. Ngokwenyani, luhambo lwe-rollercoaster lwehlabathi lokurhweba - luyonwabisa abanye, loyikeka kwabanye.
Xa iimarike zizinzile, amaxabiso athanda ukuhlala engatshintshi okanye atshintshe kancinci kancinci. Noko ke, nini ukungazinzi i-spikes, amaxabiso atshintsha ngokukhawuleza kwaye ngokungalindelekanga, rhoqo ukuphendula kwiziganeko zoqoqosho okanye iindaba. Eli inokuba lixesha elikhulu ithuba traders abaphumelela kwezi swingi, kodwa inokuba lixesha lomngcipheko omkhulu.
Ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kweemarike ibalulekile kumntu wonke trader. Asikokwazi nje ukuba ungabambelela nini ukuze ukhwele kwaye uhle nini; imalunga nokuqonda izinto ezisisiseko eziqhuba ukuguquguquka. Ezi zinokusuka kwimiba yoqoqosho olukhulu njengenzala kunye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kwiziganeko ze-geopolitical, ukuthengisa iimvakalelo.
Ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kaninzi kuthetha umngcipheko ophezulu, kodwa nokubanakho imbuyekezo ephezulu. Traders abanokuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo ezi swings banokufumana umvuzo obalulekileyo. Kwelinye icala, ukuguquguquka okuphantsi kuthetha umngcipheko ophantsi, kodwa kunye nembuyekezo esezantsi.
Ukujonga ukuguquguquka kweemarike, traders bahlala besebenzisa iindlela ezahlukeneyo kunye nezixhobo. Ezi zinokubandakanya uhlalutyo yobugcisa, ebandakanya ukufunda iipateni zexabiso kunye neendlela, kunye uhlalutyo oluphambili, okubandakanya ukujonga izinto ezisisiseko zoqoqosho kunye nezemali.
Ukwengeza, traders rhoqo ukusebenzisa stop-ilahleko odolo ukunciphisa ilahleko yabo enokwenzeka ngexesha lokuguquguquka okuphezulu. Oku kubandakanya ukusetwa kwexabiso elimiselweyo apho isibambiso siya kuthengiswa ngokuzenzekelayo ukuba ixabiso layo liwela kwelo nqanaba.
Ngelixa ukuguquguquka kweemarike kunokoyikisa, ukuqonda oko kunokuvula ilizwe lamathuba traders. Sisikhumbuzo sokuba kwihlabathi lokurhweba, njengakubomi, eyona nto iqhubekayo lutshintsho.
1.1. Inkcazo yokuguquguquka kweMarike
Ukuguquguquka kweNtengiso, igama elidlalwa rhoqo kwihlabathi lorhwebo, ngumlinganiselo weqondo lokwahluka kwamaxabiso orhwebo lwezibambiso kwimarike ethile ngexesha elimisiweyo. Ngokusisiseko, lizinga apho ixabiso le-asethi, elifana nokhuseleko lwemali lomntu okanye imarike yonke, linyuka okanye lehla kwiseti yeembuyekezo.
Ukunyanzelisa idla ngokubonakaliswa njengomahluko okanye ukutenxa okusemgangathweni ukubonisa intshukumo ephakathi kude nexabiso eliphakathi. Xa imarike kuthiwa iyaguquguquka, oko kuthetha ukuba amaxabiso ezibambiso ahamba kakhulu kwicala elinye okanye eziliqela.
Ingqikelelo yokuguquguquka ingaphinda ihlelwe ibe ziindidi ezimbini: ukungazinzi kwembali kwaye uxinzelelo olubonakalayo. Ukuguquguquka ngokwembali kubhekisa kwintshukumo yenyani yangaphambili yokhuseleko kwaye inokulinganiswa ngalo naliphi na ixesha. Kwelinye icala, ukuguquguquka okuchazwayo luqikelelo lokungaguquguquki kwekamva lokhuseleko kwaye luthatyathwe kwixabiso lemarike lemarike. traded i-derivative (umzekelo, ukhetho).
Ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kweemarike kubalulekile kwi traders njengoko inokuchaphazela ixesha labo tradekunye neengeniso okanye ilahleko enokubakho. Ukungaguquguquki okuphezulu kudla ngokubonisa amathuba okurhweba ngenxa yeenguqu ezibalulekileyo zexabiso, kodwa ngokulinganayo, kukwabeka umngcipheko ophezulu. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuguquguquka okuphantsi kudla ngokuthetha amathuba amancinci okurhweba ngenxa yeentshukumo ezincinci zamaxabiso, kodwa kuthathwa njengekhuselekile kumngcipheko-ochaseneyo. traders.
Kwimeko, okungazinzi kweemalike luluvo olubalulekileyo, kodwa olusoloko lungaqondwa kakuhle kurhwebo. Ayikokuhla nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuphela, kodwa ukuqonda amandla asemva kwezi ntshukumo kunye nendlela ezinokubotshelelwa ngayo kwimpumelelo yorhwebo.
1.2. Iimbangela zokuguquguquka kweMarike
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike yinto enika umdla kodwa entsonkothileyo traders rhoqo ukulwa nayo. Yimveliso yeemeko ezahlukeneyo, nganye inegalelo ekuthobeni nasekuhambeni kwemarike. Unobangela ophambili ngu izalathisi zoqoqosho. Ezi ziimetrics zeenkcukacha-manani ezibonelela ngemibono kwimpilo iyonke yoqoqosho. Zibandakanya idatha yengqesho, ukukhula kweGDP, amazinga okunyuka kwamaxabiso, kunye nokunye. Ukutshintsha ngokukhawuleza kwezi zalathi kunokubangela ukuguquguquka okukhulu kweemarike.
Omnye unobangela omkhulu iziganeko zezopolitiko. Ezi zinokusuka kunyulo kunye notshintsho lomgaqo-nkqubo ukuya kwiingxabano kunye neentlekele zendalo. Iziganeko ezinjalo zinokubangela ukungaqiniseki, kubangele abatyali-mali ukuba balungelelanise iipotfoliyo zabo, nto leyo enokubangela ukuba iimarike zijike.
Intengiso ikwadlala indima ebalulekileyo. Oku kubhekiselele kwisimo sengqondo esipheleleyo sabatyali-mali ngokubhekiselele kwimarike ethile okanye isixhobo semali. Xa iimvakalelo zitshintsha, kunokukhokelela ekuthengeni okanye ekuthengiseni ngokukhawuleza, okubangela ukuguquguquka.
Gqi beleni, iingxaki zemali zingunobangela obalulekileyo wokuguquguquka kweemarike. Ngexesha lobunzima, uloyiko kunye nokungaqiniseki kunokubangela ukuba abatyali-mali baziphathe ngokungenangqiqo, okukhokelela ekunyakazeni kweemarike ezibukhali.
Kukwafanelekile ukuqaphela ukuba ezi zizathu zihlala zisebenzisana ngeendlela ezintsonkothileyo. Umzekelo, utshintsho lwezalathi zoqoqosho lunokuchaphazela uluvo lwentengiso, olunokuthi emva koko lukhokelele kwintlekele yezemali. Ke ngoko, ukuqonda oonobangela bokuguquguquka kweemarike kubandakanya ukuthathela ingqalelo kungekuphela nje izinto zomntu ngamnye, kodwa kunye nokudibana kwazo okuntsonkothileyo.
1.3. Umlinganiselo wokuguquguquka kweMarike
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike ligama elibetha zombini uloyiko kunye nemincili ezintliziyweni ze traders. Luphawu lwamanani oluguquguqukayo lwemo yemarike, ukuphindaphindeka kunye nobukhulu beenguqu kumaxabiso ezibambiso. Kodwa sinokulilinganisa njani eli rhamncwa lingaqhelekanga libizwa ngokuba liguquguquko?
Eyona ndlela ixhaphakileyo kukusebenzisa amanyathelo azobalo afana ukuphambuka okuqhelekileyo kwaye mahluko. La manyathelo asinika ingqiqo yokuba imbuyekezo ye-asethi itenxa kangakanani na kumyinge wembuyekezo yayo. Ukutenxa komgangatho ophezulu kuthetha iqondo eliphezulu lokuguquguquka, kwaye ngokuphambeneyo.
Nangona kunjalo, la manyathelo athatha kuphela inani elipheleleyo lokuguquguquka. Abasixeleli kwanto malunga namaxesha okanye ixesha lotshintsho lwamaxabiso. Ukwenzela oko, kufuneka sijike kumanyathelo anobugocigoci ngakumbi, njenge VIX Index. I-VIX, edla ngokubizwa ngokuba 'yigeyiji yoloyiko', ilinganisa ulindelo lwemarike lokuguquguquka kwexesha elizayo ngokusekelwe kumaxabiso okhetho.
Omnye umlinganiselo odumileyo ngu uluhlu lwangempela lokwenyani (ATR). I-ATR ilinganisa uluhlu oluphakathi phakathi kwamaxabiso aphezulu naphantsi kwixesha elithile. Oku kusinika ingqiqo yomndilili wentshukumo yexabiso lemihla ngemihla yokhuseleko, olunokuba luncedo ekusetheni imiyalelo yelahleko yokuyeka okanye ukwenza isigqibo sokuba ungene okanye uphume nini na. trade.
Ukungazinzi kwembali ngomnye umlinganiselo lowo traders rhoqo ukusebenzisa. Oku kubalwa ngokujonga ukutenxa komgangatho wembuyekezo ye-asethi kwixesha elithile elidlulileyo. Ingcamango kukuba ukuguquguquka kwangaphambili kunokusinika isalathiso sokuguquguquka kwexesha elizayo. Nangona kunjalo, njengabo bonke trader uyazi, ukusebenza kwangaphambili ayisosiqinisekiso seziphumo ezizayo.
Ekugqibeleni, akukho mlinganiselo omnye wokuguquguquka ogqibeleleyo. Ngamnye unamandla kunye nobuthathaka, kwaye eyona ndlela ingcono kakhulu kukusebenzisa indibaniselwano yamanyathelo. Oku kunokunika traders umfanekiso opheleleyo ngakumbi wokutshintsha kwemo yemarike kwaye ubancede benze izigqibo ezinolwazi ngakumbi.
2. Impembelelo yokuguquguquka kweMarike kuRhwebo
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike sisilo esiphantsi kwebhedi kwabaninzi traders, amandla angabonakaliyo anokwenza okanye aphule ithamsanqa ngokuqhwanyaza kweliso. Impembelelo yolu tshintsho kwintengiso iyahluka njengoko ibalulekile. Traders abaphumelela kwindawo yemarike eguquguqukayo badla ngokuba ngabo banokusabela ngokukhawuleza, benze izigqibo ngokukhawuleza ezisekelwe kwiindlela zemarike zamva nje.
Kwelinye icala, kukho traders abakhetha imarike ezinzile. Aba bantu bahlala begxile kutyalo-mali lwexesha elide, bexhomekeke ekukhuleni okuzinzileyo kwemarike ngokuhamba kwexesha. Kubo, ukuguquguquka kunokubangela inkxalabo, ukuphazamisa izicwangciso zabo ezibekwe ngononophelo kwaye kunokukhokelela kwilahleko.
Usuku traders, abathengayo nabathengisayo esitokisini ngaphakathi kosuku olunye lokurhweba, unokufumana iimarike eziguquguqukayo zibe ngumgodi wegolide wamathuba. Utshintsho olukhawulezayo lwamaxabiso esitokhwe lunokuvumela inzuzo ekhawulezileyo, ukuba ngaba trader uyakwazi ukuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo iintshukumo zemarike. Kodwa oku kuyingozi enkulu, isicwangciso esinomvuzo ophezulu esifuna ukuqonda okunzulu kweemarike kunye nokuzimisela ukuthatha ingozi enkulu.
Ukuguquka traders ababambelela kwizitokhwe iintsuku okanye iiveki, banokuzuza kwakhona kuguquguquko lwentengiso. Ukuguquguquka okukhulu kwexabiso okubonisa imarike eguquguqukayo kunokubonelela ngokunokwenzeka kwengeniso enkulu ukuba trader unokuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo ulwalathiso lwemarike.
Nangona kunjalo, ukuguquguquka likrele elintlangothi-mbini. Nangona inokubonelela ngamathuba okufumana inzuzo, iphinda inyuse umngcipheko welahleko. Ukuhla kwemarike ngokukhawuleza kunokucima inzuzo yosuku trader okanye ujingi trader kwimizuzu embalwa. Kungenxa yoko le nto kubalulekile ukuba traders ukuba nesicwangciso esiluqilima solawulo lomngcipheko endaweni yokukhusela utyalo-mali lwabo kubume obungalindelekanga bokuguquguquka kweemarike.
Phakathi kokuguquguquka kweemarike, iinketho traders unokufumana amathuba awodwa. Ngokuthenga kunye nokuthengisa iikhontrakthi zokhetho kunezitokhwe zangempela, ezi traders ingenza inzuzo ngokuguquguquka ngokwayo, kunokuba ifune ukuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo umkhombandlela wemarike. Oku kunokubonelela ngesithinteli ngokuchasene nemingcipheko eyayanyaniswa neemarike eziguquguqukayo, kodwa kukwafuna ukuqonda okunzulu kokhetho. izicwangciso zorhwebo.
Ngamafutshane, ukuguquguquka kweemarike kunokuba yintsikelelo kunye nesiqalekiso traders. Inokubonelela ngamathuba okufumana inzuzo enkulu, kodwa ikwahamba nomngcipheko owongeziweyo. Isitshixo se tradeI-rs kukuqonda ukunyamezela kwabo umngcipheko kunye nesimbo sokurhweba, kunye nokuphuhlisa amaqhinga asebenza ngcono kuhlobo lwemeko yentengiso abakhululeke kakhulu kuyo.
2.1. Ukuguquguquka kunye neSicwangciso soTyalo-mali
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike, igama elibangela ukuba abaninzi bangcangcazele traders, ayisiyonto nje elele phantsi kwehlabathi lorhwebo. Ngamandla okwenene kwaye anamandla anokwenza okanye aphule isicwangciso sakho sotyalo-mali. Kukubetha kwentliziyo yemarike, isingqi senzuzo kunye nelahleko. Kodwa kuthekani ukuba besikuxelele ukuba le nto ibonakala yoyikeka yorhwebo ingafakwa kwaye isetyenziswe kwintengiso yakhovantage?
Ukunyanzelisa ngumlinganiselo wokuphindaphinda kunye nobukhali beentshukumo zexabiso kwimarike kwixesha elithile. Ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kubonisa ukuguquguquka okukhulu kwexabiso kunye namandla amakhulu okwenza inzuzo (okanye ilahleko), ngelixa ukuguquguquka okuphantsi kubonisa iintshukumo ezincinci, ezinokuqikelelwa ngakumbi.
Ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kubalulekile ekumiseleni isicwangciso sakho sotyalo-mali. Isicwangciso esilungiselelwe imeko ephantsi-guquguqukayo ayinakuhamba kakuhle kwimarike eguquguqukayo ephezulu kwaye ngokuchaseneyo.
Ulwabiwo lwempahla ecwangcisiweyo yenye indlela yokuhamba kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo. Oku kubandakanya ukusasaza utyalo-mali lwakho kwiindidi ezahlukeneyo ze-asethi ezifana nezitokhwe, iibhondi, kunye nemali, ukunciphisa umngcipheko kunye nokuphucula imbuyekezo. Into ephambili kukugcina olu lwabiwo, kungakhathaliseki ukuba iimeko zemarike.
Elinye iqhinga ukujolisa ukuguquguquka, apho uhlengahlengisa inqanaba lomngcipheko wepotfoliyo yakho ekuphenduleni utshintsho kuguquguquko lwemarike. Kwiimeko eziguquguqukayo eziphezulu, uya kunciphisa ukubonakaliswa komngcipheko wakho, kwaye kwiindawo eziphantsi kokuguquka, uya kukwandisa. Le ndlela iguqukayo ifuna ukubekwa esweni rhoqo kunye nohlengahlengiso lwepotfoliyo yakho.
Iinketho urhwebo inokuba sisixhobo esinamandla kwimarike eguquguqukayo. Iinketho zikunika ilungelo, kodwa hayi isibophelelo, ukuthenga okanye ukuthengisa isibambiso ngexabiso elithile ngexesha elithile. Oku kunokubonelela ngenethi yokhuseleko ngokuchasene nokutshintsha kwamaxabiso okumangalisayo.
Khumbula, ngelixa ukuguquguquka kunokuba ngumthombo woxinzelelo, kunokuba ngumthombo wamathuba. Undoqo ulele ekuqondeni ubunjani bayo kunye nokufunda indlela yokulungelelanisa isicwangciso sakho ngokufanelekileyo. Imarike inokuba lirhamncwa, kodwa ngezixhobo ezifanelekileyo kunye nezicwangciso, unako funda ukukhwela amaza okuguquguquka kwaye uphume phezulu.
2.2. Ukuguquguquka kunye noLawulo loMngcipheko
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike yi-rollercoaster yehlabathi lokurhweba, uhambo oluchulumancisayo oluphezulu nolusezantsi olunokwenza okanye lwaphule ipotifoliyo yakho yotyalo-mali. Ziintshukumo zamaxabiso ezikhawulezayo nezibalulekileyo ezinokuthi zenzeke kwixeshana elifutshane. Oku kudla ngokulinganiswa yi I-Volatility Index (VIX), isalathiso semarike yexesha lokwenyani emele ulindelo lwemarike lokuguquguquka kwiintsuku ezingama-30 ezizayo.
Ke, yenza njani a trader ukuhamba kule marike inesiphithiphithi? Impendulo ifumaneka ulawulo lwengozi. Ulawulo lomngcipheko yinkqubo yokuchonga, yokuvavanya, kunye nokulawula izoyikiso kwinkunzi yombutho kunye nemivuzo. Kumxholo wokurhweba, kubandakanya isethi yemilinganiselo yokulawula ilahleko, kubandakanywa ulwahlulo, ubungakanani obufanelekileyo bendawo, kunye nokuseta imiyalelo yelahleko yokuyeka.
ukohlulwa sisenzo sokusasaza utyalo-mali phakathi kweemarike zezimali ezahlukeneyo ukunciphisa umngcipheko. Sisaci sakudala sokuba ungawabeki onke amaqanda akho kwingobozi enye. Ubungakanani obufanelekileyo bendawo imisela ukuba yimalini na ye-asethi ethile ekufuneka ithengwe okanye ithengiswe. Inceda ukulinganisa inzuzo enokwenzeka kunye nomngcipheko. Okokugqibela, a ukuyeka ukulahleka lumyalelo owenziwe nge broker ukuthenga okanye ukuthengisa xa isitokhwe sifikelela kwixabiso elithile. Yenzelwe ukunciphisa ilahleko yomtyali-mali kwindawo yokhuseleko.
Xa sijongene nokuguquguquka kweemarike, ezi zicwangciso zokulawula umngcipheko zinokuba ngumahluko phakathi kwenzuzo trade kunye nentlekele. Bayanceda traders ukuhlala kulawulo, nokuba imarike kubonakala nantoni na. Khumbula, kwihlabathi lezorhwebo, ekuphela kwesiqinisekiso kukungaqiniseki. Ngoko, cwangcisa eyakho tradekunye trade isicwangciso sakho.
2.3. Ukuguquguquka kunye namaThuba eNzuzo
Kwihlabathi lorhwebo, ukungazinzi ingaphezulu kwelizwi nje. Kukubetha kwentliziyo yemarike, ukwehla kunye nokuhamba kwamaxabiso okunokupela impumelelo kwi-savvy traders. Amaxesha okuguquguquka okuphezulu aphawulwa ngokutshintsha kwamaxabiso okubalulekileyo kunye nokuguquguquka okukhulu, imeko enokoyikisa abantu abangaziqhelanga. Kodwa kwabo baqonda i-dynamics yemarike, oku kuguquguquka kunokubonisa ubutyebi amathuba enzuzo.
Ukunyanzelisa yi trader umhlobo osenyongweni kunye notshaba olubi. Likrele elintlangothi-mbini elinokuthi livelise inzuzo enkulu okanye lenze ilahleko enkulu. Isitshixo sokusebenzisa amandla ayo sisekuqondeni nasekulawuleni umngcipheko. Tradeabanokuthi ngobuchule bahambe kumanzi anesiphithiphithi kwimarike eguquguqukayo bame ukuze bazuze kakhulu.
Imarike eguquguqukayo ifana nokukhwela i-roller coaster. Kuyavuyisa, kuyavuyisa, kwaye ngamanye amaxesha kuyoyikisa. Kodwa njenge-roller coaster, ukuba uyazi ukuba ubambelele nini ngokuqinileyo kunye nexesha lokuyeka, unokujika olo hambo lwasendle lube lithuba elinomdla lokufumana inzuzo.
Kwimarike eguquguqukayo, amaxabiso ahamba ngokukhawuleza kwaye ngokumangalisayo. Oku kuhamba ngokukhawuleza kunokudala ubuninzi bamathuba okurhweba. Umzekelo, a tradeI-r inokuzuza ngokuhla kwexabiso ngokukhawuleza ngokuthengisa i-stock-short-selling, okanye inzuzo ngokunyuka kwexabiso elibukhali ngokuthenga isitokisi ngexabiso eliphantsi kwaye lithengise xa ixabiso likhuphuka.
Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba ukungazinzi kwakhona kuzisa ingozi eyongeziweyo. Amaxabiso anokuhla ngokukhawuleza njengoko enokunyuka. Ngoko ke, traders kufuneka bakulungele ukwenza izinto ngokukhawuleza nangesigqibo, kwaye kufuneka bahlale beyikhumbula ukunyamezela kwabo umngcipheko kunye neenjongo zotyalo-mali.
Umtsalane wokungaguquguquki usekukwazini kwayo ukufumana imbuyekezo ephezulu. Kodwa khumbula, umvuzo omkhulu uza nomngcipheko omkhulu. Sisenzo esithambileyo sokulungelelanisa esifuna ulwazi, isakhono, kunye nethamo eliphilileyo lokukhalipha. Kodwa kwabo banokukwazi ukuyilawula, imakethi eguquguqukayo inokubonelela ngamava amnandi kunye nenzuzo yokurhweba.
3. Ukuhlangabezana nokuguquguquka kweMarike
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike yinxalenye ebalulekileyo yelizwe lorhwebo, kwaye ukufunda ukuhamba ngamaza alo angenakucingeleka sisakhono esibalulekileyo kumntu ngamnye. trader. Xa imarike iguquguquka, amaxabiso atshintsha ngokukhawuleza, kwaye amaxabiso otyalo-mali anokutshintsha ngokukhawuleza, okukhokelela kwingeniso okanye ilahleko.
Ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kweemarike iqala ngokuqaphela iindidi zayo ezimbini eziphambili: ezembali kunye nezichaziweyo. Ukungazinzi kwembali ibhekisa kutshintsho lwexabiso lwenyani olujongwe kwixesha elithile elidlulileyo. Kwelinye icala, uxinzelelo olubonakalayo ngumlinganiselo olindelekileyo wokuguquguquka kwexesha elizayo, ophuma kwixabiso lenketho okanye i-derivative.
Ukuphuhlisa isicwangciso ukumelana nokuguquguquka kweemarike kubalulekile. Ukwahluka yindlela esisiseko edla ngokusetyenziswa traders. Ngokusasaza utyalo-mali lwakho kwii-asethi ezahlukeneyo, unokubanakho ukulungisa ilahleko kwindawo enye ngeenzuzo kwenye. Ukongeza, ukuba nomxube wotyalo-mali kunokunceda ukunciphisa umngcipheko wepotfoliyo yakho.
Ukuyeka ukulahleka kwee-odolo sesinye isixhobo eso traders sebenzisa ukulawula ukuguquguquka. Ngokumisela ixabiso elimiselweyo lokuthengisa isibambiso, traders inokunciphisa ilahleko enokubakho.
Ukugcina iimvakalelo mhlawumbi ngowona mba ucela umngeni wokujongana nokuguquguquka kweemarike. Kulula ukutshayelwa kukoyika ilahleko okanye imincili yeenzuzo ezinokubakho. Nangona kunjalo, ukwenza izigqibo ezisekelwe kwiimvakalelo zihlala zikhokelela ekukhetheni okungalunganga kwezorhwebo. Kubalulekile ukuba uhlale ugxile, unamathele kwisicwangciso sakho, kwaye wenze izigqibo ezinengqiqo ezisekelwe kuhlalutyo olunononophelo.
Ukuhlala unolwazi Ikwabalulekile ngexesha leemarike eziguquguqukayo. Ukuhlala uphonononga utyalo-mali lwakho, ukuhlala usexesheni ngeendaba zentengiso, kunye nokuqonda izikhombisi zezoqoqosho kunokukunceda wenze izigqibo ezizizo kwaye uhlengahlengise isicwangciso sakho njengoko kuyimfuneko.
Khumbula, ukuguquguquka kweemarike kunokuba likrele elintlangothi-mbini, ukunika zombini umngcipheko kunye namathuba. Ngokuqonda ubume bayo kunye nokuphuhlisa isicwangciso esiluqilima, unokuguqula ukuguquguquka kweemarike kwintengiso yakhovantage kwaye uhambe kwiilwandle zokurhweba ngokuzithemba.
3.1. Uvakalelo kunye nokuguquguquka kweMarike
Imizwa dlala indima ebalulekileyo ekuqhubeni ukuguquguquka kweemarike. Nokuba kukunyuka kwethemba okuthumela amaxabiso esitokhwe ukuba anyuke okanye ukothuka okubangela ukuwohloka kwemarike, iimvakalelo traders inokuchaphazela kakhulu imeko yezemali. Ifana nomdlalo wepoker okwinqanaba eliphezulu apho iimvakalelo zabadlali zinokunika ibhalansi yomdlalo.
Cinga ngokuwa kwemarike ka-2008. Uloyiko yayiyeyona mvakalelo ibalaseleyo trader bathengisa ngokungxama isitokhwe sabo, nto leyo eyabangela ukuhla okukhokelele kweyona ntlekele yezemali imbi kwimbali. Kwelinye icala, itekhnoloji ye-tech boom yeminyaka engama-90 kade yaphenjelelwa lulangazelelo olungalawulekiyo lokubakho kwe-intanethi, ukuqhuba amaxabiso esitokhwe ukuya kubude obungazange bubonwe ngaphambili ngaphambi kokuba iqamza liqhume.
Urhwebo oluqhutywa yimvakalelo kunokukhokelela ekuthathweni kwezigqibo ezingenangqiqo, ezihlala zinyusa ukuguquguquka kweemarike. Nini traders ukwenza ngokweemvakalelo zabo kunokuba uhlalutyo olunengqiqo, bathanda ukuthenga phezulu kwaye bathengise okuphantsi - into echasene ngqo nesicwangciso sotyalo-mali esivakalayo. Le ngcinga yomhlambi inokudala amaqamza amaxabiso kunye nokuwa kwemarike ngokukhawuleza.
Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba iimvakalelo azikho mbi ngokwendalo. Ngamanye amaxesha banokusebenza njenge-barometer eluncedo, ebonisa xa imarike inokuthengwa kakhulu okanye ithengiswe ngaphezulu. Umzekelo, uloyiko olugqithisileyo lunokubonisa intengiso esezantsi, ebonisa ithuba lokuthenga elinokubakho, ngelixa ukubawa okugqithisileyo kunokubonisa intengiso ephezulu, ebonisa ukuba inokuba lixesha lokuthengisa.
Ngokwenyani, ukuqonda indima yeemvakalelo ekuguquguqukeni kweemarike kubalulekile kuyo nayiphi na trader. Ngokuhlala unolwazi ngemeko yakho yeemvakalelo kunye nemo yentengiso, unokwenza izigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi ngakumbi kwaye ubenakho ukwenza imali ekuguquguqukeni kweemarike. Ngoko kwixesha elizayo xa uziva uloyiko okanye igagasi lokunyoluka, khumbula-ezi mvakalelo zinokuba zizixhobo ezinamandla ukuba zisetyenziswe ngobulumko.
3.2. Ukubaluleka kweSicwangciso sokuRhweba esiSiqina
Kwihlabathi elinesiphithiphithi sorhwebo, apho ukuguquguquka kwentengiso kunokungaqikeleleki njengolwandle oluvuthuzayo, ziqinile cwangciso so shishino kufana nokuba neyona khampasi ichanekileyo. Ngayo, unokuhamba kumanzi ashwabeneyo okungaqiniseki kwemali, wenze izigqibo ezizizo ezingaphenjelelwa ngamaza oloyiko kunye nokubawa.
A isicwangciso sorhwebo esomeleleyo luyilo lwakho lwempumelelo. Ichaza iinjongo zakho zemali, ukunyamezela umngcipheko, iindlela, kunye nobuchule obukhethekileyo nganye trade. Akukhona nje malunga nokwazi ixesha lokungena a trade, kodwa kwakhona ukuba uphume nini. Ikunika imbono ecacileyo kumfanekiso omkhulu, ikunceda uphephe izigqibo ezingxamisekileyo ezinokukhokelela kwilahleko enkulu.
Ukuguquguquka kweemarike, ngelixa kudla ngokujongwa njengomngcipheko, nako kunokubonisa amathuba e-savvy traders. Nangona kunjalo, ukwenza ingeniso kula mathuba kufuna indlela eqeqeshekileyo, kwaye kulapho isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba singena khona. Inika uqeqesho olufunekayo ukuze unamathele kumaqhinga akho, nangona imarike ibonakala iphikisana nawe.
Ngaphezu koko, isicwangciso sokurhweba asiyiyo ilungiselelo lexesha elinye. Ifanele ukuba njalo ijongiwe rhoqo kwaye yacokiswa ngokusekelwe kwintsebenzo yakho yokurhweba kunye notshintsho lwemarike. Le nkqubo yokuphindaphinda ikunceda ukuba uziqhelanise nendalo eguquguqukayo yemarike, uphucula izakhono zakho zokurhweba ngokuhamba kwexesha.
Khumbula, isicwangciso sokurhweba esenziwe kakuhle sifana nendlu yesibane esikukhokelela kumhlaba onenkungu wokuguquguquka kweemarike. Ayinakuthintela izaqhwithi, kodwa iya kukunika izixhobo zokuyilungisa kwaye uphume ngamandla kwelinye icala. Ke, ukuba awukenzi, qala ukuphuhlisa isicwangciso sakho sorhwebo namhlanje. Yimephu yakho yendlela eya empumelelweni kwihlabathi eliguqukayo lorhwebo.
3.3. Indima yabacebisi bezeMali ngexesha leeMarike eziguquguqukayo
Kulwandle oluvuthuzayo lweemarike zemali, indima a umcebisi wezemali unokufaniswa nomphathi wenqanawa onamava, okhokelayo trader ngokukhuselekileyo kwimozulu enesaqhwithi. Xa iimarike ziguquguquka, ixabiso lotyalo-mali lingaguquguquka, libangele traders ukuziva uphakuzela okanye ukungaqiniseki. Apha kulapho abacebisi bezezimali bangenelela khona, besebenzisa ulwazi lwabo oluphangaleleyo namava ukuze banike iingcebiso ezolileyo, ezinengqiqo.
Abacebisi ngezezimali Nceda trader bayaqonda ukuba ukuguquguquka kweemarike yinxalenye yendalo yohambo lotyalo-mali, hayi into engaqhelekanga. Banika ingqiqo kwimeko yembali yokuguquguquka kweemarike, ukunceda traders ukubona ngaphaya kwesiphithiphithi sangoku kunye nokugxila kwiinjongo zabo zotyalo-mali lwexesha elide. Ngaphezu koko, banokubonelela ngezicwangciso zokunciphisa umngcipheko, njengokwenza iipotfoliyo ezahlukeneyo okanye ukulungelelanisa ulwabiwo lotyalo-mali.
Ngamaxesha okuguquguquka kweemarike, abacebisi bezemali nabo badlala indima ebalulekileyo ekuncedeni tradebayakuphepha ukwenza izigqibo eziqhutywa luloyiko okanye ukubawa. Zisebenza njengelizwi lokuqiqa, elikhuthazayo traders ukubambelela kwizicwangciso zabo zotyalo-mali kunokwenza ukusabela kwamadolo kuguquguquko lwemarike.
Ngaphaya koko, abacebisi bezezimali banokunceda trader baxhakamfule amathuba avelayo ngexesha leemarike eziguquguqukayo. Ngelixa ukuguquguquka kusenokungonwabi, kunokudala amathuba okuthenga izinto ezithile. Abacebisi banokunceda trader bachonge la mathuba kwaye benze izigqibo ezisekelwe kukunyamezela kwabo umngcipheko kunye neenjongo zotyalo-mali.
Ngamafutshane, ngexesha leemarike eziguqukayo, abacebisi bezemali zisebenze njengamahlakani anexabiso traders, ukunika isikhokelo, ukubethelela ukuzithemba, kunye nokunceda ukuzulazula kwiimarike zezemali ngesandla esizinzileyo.
