Umyinge oBalaseleyo woTshintsho (ROC) Isikhokelo seSalathisi

1. Isishwankathelo seNqanaba loTshintsho (ROC) Isalathisi

The Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) sisalathiso sobugcisa esisekwe kwisantya esiphezulu esisetyenziswa kwiimalike zemali ukulinganisa utshintsho lwepesenti kwixabiso kwixesha elichaziweyo. Isetyenziswa ikakhulu ukuchonga isantya seentshukumo zamaxabiso, isalatha amandla kunye necala lendlela. Ngokubala izinga apho amaxabiso aguqukayo, isalathisi seROC siyanceda trader balindele ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka, ukuqhawuka, okanye ukuqhubeka kwendlela.

I-ROC isebenza kumgaqo olula: ithelekisa ixabiso langoku lokhuseleko kwixabiso layo inani elithile lexesha elidlulileyo. Isiphumo sichazwa njengepesenti, enokuthi ibe yinto enhle (ebonisa ukunyuka kwexabiso elinyukayo) okanye i-negative (ebonisa intshukumo ehlayo). Esi salathisi sisebenza ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo, sisebenza kwiimarike ezahlukeneyo kuquka esitokisini, forex, kunye nezinto zorhwebo, kwaye zinokusetyenziswa ecaleni kwezinye uhlalutyo yobugcisa izixhobo zohlalutyo olubanzi lwemarike.

Traders bahlala besebenzisa i-ROC yokwahlukana ngexabiso ukubona uguqulo olunokwenzeka. Ukwahlukana kwenzeka xa ixabiso kunye nesalathisi se-ROC sihamba ngendlela echaseneyo, enokuthi ibe ngumqondiso wokunciphisa umfutho wendlela. Ngaphezu koko, i-ROC ikwasetyenziselwa ukuchonga iimeko ezithengiswe kakhulu okanye ezithengisiweyo kwimarike, nangona ingengomsebenzi wayo ophambili.

Iimpawu eziphambili:

• Uhlobo lwesalathisi: Momentum
• Se tyenziswa: Ukuchonga amandla okuhamba kunye nomkhombandlela, ukubona ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka, ukuqhambuka, kunye nokuqhubeka
• Iimarike eziSebenzisayo: Izitokhwe, Forex, Iimveliso, njl.
• amaxesha: Iyaguquguquka, kodwa isetyenziswa rhoqo kwixesha elifutshane ukuya kweliphakathi
• Usetyenziso Oluqhelekileyo: Ngokudibeneyo nezinye izikhombisi zohlalutyo olubanzi

2. Ukubalwa kwesalathisi seROC

Ubalo lwe Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) isalathisi yinkqubo ethe ngqo, evumela traders yawo onke amanqanaba ukuze isetyenziswe ngokufanelekileyo. I-ROC ibalwa kusetyenziswa le fomula ilandelayo:

ROC = ((iXabiso langoku – Ixabiso n amaxesha adlulileyo) / Ixabiso n amaxesha adlulileyo) * 100

phi:

• Ixabiso langoku: Ixabiso lokuvala lamva nje le-asethi.
• Ixabiso n amaxesha adlulileyo: Ixabiso lokuvala le-asethi n amaxesha phambi kweli langoku.

Le fomula ivelisa ixabiso lepesenti ebonisa izinga apho ixabiso le-asethi litshintshile kwixesha elikhethiweyo. Ixabiso elihle le-ROC libonisa ukunyuka kwexabiso eliphezulu, ngelixa ixabiso elibi libonisa ukuhla.

2.1 Umzekelo wokubala weNyathelo ngenyathelo

Umzekelo osebenzayo, masibale iROC yesitokhwe kwisithuba seentsuku ezili-10:

1. Qinisekisa ixabiso lokuvala langoku, yithi i-$ 105.
2. Fumana ixabiso lokuvala iintsuku ezili-10 ezidlulileyo, umzekelo, i-$ 100.
3. Sebenzisa ifomula ye-ROC:
   ROC = ((105 – 100) / 100) * 100 = 5%

Esi siphumo sithetha ukuba ixabiso lesitokhwe linyuke nge-5% kwiintsuku ezili-10 ezidlulileyo.

2.2 Ukukhetha iXesha elifanelekileyo

Ukukhethwa kwamaxesha ka-'n' kubalo lwe-ROC sisigqibo esibalulekileyo ekufuneka sihambelane ne trader isicwangciso kunye nexesha elimiselweyo lomdla:

• Ixesha elifutshane traders ingakhetha u-'n' omncinci, onje nge-5-15 yamaxesha, ukubamba iintshukumo zamaxabiso zakutsha nje ngovakalelo.
• Ixesha elide traders isenokukhetha u-'n' omkhulu, njengamaxesha angama-20-200, kwimbono ebanzi kwiintsingiselo zamaxabiso.

Ukulungelelanisa inani lexesha livumela trader ukulungisa i-ROC kwisitayile sabo sokurhweba kunye neenjongo, njengoko amaxesha ahlukeneyo aya kubonelela ngeembono ezahlukeneyo kutshintsho lwentengiso.

3. IiNqobo eziNgcono eziLungileyo zokuSeta ngamaxesha ahlukeneyo

Ukukhetha awona maxabiso afanelekileyo kwi Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) isalathisi sibalulekile kuhlalutyo olusebenzayo lwemarike. La maxabiso ayohluka ngokuxhomekeke kwixesha elimisiweyo a trader igxile. Undoqo kukulungelelanisa ukuphendula ngokuchaneka ukuphepha ingxolo eninzi okanye imiqondiso eshiyekileyo.

3.1 URhwebo lweXesha elifutshane

Okwexeshana elifutshane traders, njengosuku traders okanye abo babambe izikhundla kangangeentsuku ezimbalwa:

• eCetyisiweyo iXesha le-ROC: Iintsuku ze-5-15.
• Indawo: Amaxesha amafutshane anikezela ngemiqondiso ekhawulezayo, ebamba iintshukumo zexabiso lexesha elifutshane ngokufanelekileyo.
• Uqwalaselo: Ngelixa ziphendula, ezi zicwangciso zingakhokelela kwiimpawu zobuxoki ngenxa yengxolo yemarike.

3.2 URhwebo lweXesha eliPhakathi

Ixesha eliphakathi traders, ababambe izikhundla iiveki okanye iinyanga ezininzi, banokufumana olu seto lulandelayo lufanelekile ngakumbi:

• eCetyisiweyo iXesha le-ROC: Iintsuku ze-20-60.
• Indawo: La maxesha abetha ibhalansi, enika umbono ocacileyo wendlela esisiseko ngaphandle kokushiyeka kakhulu.
• Uqwalaselo: Iimpawu azixhaphakanga kodwa zithembeke ngokubanzi kunamaxesha amafutshane.

3.3 URhwebo lweXesha elide

Kubatyali-mali bexesha elide okanye traders ababambe izikhundla iinyanga ezininzi ukuya kwiminyaka:

• eCetyisiweyo iXesha le-ROC: Iintsuku ze-100-200.
• Indawo: Amaxesha amade alungisa ukuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane, kuqaqambisa iindlela eziphambili.
• Uqwalaselo: Iimpawu zicotha kakhulu, kodwa zibonelela ngenqanaba eliphezulu lokuthembeka kwiindlela zexesha elide.

3.4 Ukulungelelaniswa neeMeko zeMarike

Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba ezi ziindawo zokuqala kwaye kufuneka zilungelelaniswe ngokweemeko zemarike kunye nomntu ngamnye izicwangciso zorhwebo. Iiklasi ezahlukeneyo ze-asethi zisenokufuna uhlengahlengiso kolu lungiso ukuze ufumane iziphumo ezizezona zilungileyo.

4. Ukutolikwa kwesalathisi seROC

Ukutolika i Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) isalathisi singundoqo ekusetyenzisweni kwayo ngokufanelekileyo kwiindlela zokurhweba. Umsebenzi ophambili we-ROC kukubonisa isantya ngokubonisa isantya apho ixabiso lokhuseleko litshintsha. Nantsi imiba ebalulekileyo yokutolika kwe-ROC:

4.1 Ukuchonga aMandla oMthombo

Isalathisi se-ROC siluncedo kakhulu ekuhloleni amandla omzila. Iingqwalasela eziphambili ziquka:

• Isantya esiphezulu: Ixabiso elihle le-ROC, ngakumbi elo linyuka ngokuhamba kwexesha, licebisa ukunyuka okunamandla.
• Isantya esisezantsi: I-ROC engalunganga, ngakumbi eyehlayo, ibonisa ukunyuka okunamandla okuhla.
• Ukuma: Ixabiso le-ROC elijikeleze i-zero libonisa ukunqongophala kwesantya, ukuphawula kwimarike edibanisayo okanye engenamkhombandlela.

4.2 Spotting Trend Reversals

I-ROC inokuba luncedo ekuchongeni uguqulo olunokwenzeka:

• Bullish ukuguqulwa: Ukutshintsha ukusuka kwi-ROC engalunganga ukuya kwi-ROC efanelekileyo kunokubonisa ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish.
• Ukuguqulwa kweBearish: Utshintsho olusuka kwi-ROC elungileyo ukuya kwi-ROC engalunganga ingabonisa ukuguqulwa kwe-bearish.

4.3 Uhlalutyo lweeyantlukwano

Umahluko phakathi kwe-ROC kunye nexabiso le-asethi ihlala ibonelela ngeembono ezibalulekileyo:

• Ukwahlukana kweBullish: Kwenzeka xa ixabiso lenza eliphantsi elitsha, kodwa i-ROC yenza i-low low, enokuthi ibonise ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish.
• I-Bearish Divergence: Kwenzeka xa ixabiso lenza i-high high, kodwa i-ROC yenza i-high low, enokuthi ibonise ukuguqulwa kwe-bearish.

4.4 IiMeko zokuThengiswa ngokuPhezulu nokuThengiswa ngokuNgakumbi

Ngelixa ingengomsebenzi wayo ophambili, i-ROC inokusetyenziselwa ukuchonga iimeko ezithengiswe ngaphezulu kunye nezithengisiweyo:

• Ukuthenga ngokugqithisileyo: Amaxabiso e-ROC aphezulu kakhulu anokuthi acebise ukuba i-asethi ithengwe kakhulu, kwaye ukubuyisela umva kunokuba kufutshane.
• Ithengisiwe: Amaxabiso e-ROC aphantsi kakhulu angabonisa imeko ethengisiweyo, enokukhokelela ekuguqulweni kwe-bullish.

5. Ukudibanisa isalathisi seROC kunye nezinye izalathisi

Ukudibanisa i Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) isalathisi esinezinye izixhobo zokuhlalutya lobugcisa kunokuphucula ukusebenza kwayo kwaye ibonelele ngendlela ejikelezileyo kuhlalutyo lwemarike. Nazi ezinye iindibaniselwano eziqhelekileyo nezisebenzayo:

5.1 I-ROC kunye ne-Moving Average

Ukudibanisa i-ROC kunye ne-avareji ehambayo kunokunceda ukuqinisekisa iintsingiselo kunye nokuguqulwa okunokwenzeka:

• uQinisekiso lwentsingiselo: I-ROC engaphezulu kwe-zero idityaniswe nexabiso elingaphezulu kwe-a umlinganiselo ohambayo (njenge-50-day okanye i-200-day MA) inokuqinisekisa ukunyuka okunyukayo.
• Imiqondiso yokubuyisela umva: I-ROC ewelayo ewela ngaphantsi kwe-zero ngelixa ixabiso liwela ngaphantsi komyinge ohambahambayo lingabonakalisa ukuguqulwa kwe-bearish.

5.2 I-ROC kunye ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Ukusebenzisa i-ROC kunye ne Relative Index Ukomelela (RSI) inokusebenza ekuboneni iimeko ezithengwe kakhulu okanye ezithengiswe ngaphezulu:

• Iimeko zokuThengiswa ngokugqithisileyo: I-ROC ephezulu kakhulu edityaniswe ne-RSI ngaphezu kwe-70 ingabonisa i-market overbought.
• Iimeko ezithengisiweyo: I-ROC ephantsi kakhulu kunye ne-RSI engaphantsi kwe-30 inokucebisa imarike ethengiswa kakhulu.

5.3 I-ROC kunye ne-Bollinger Bands

I-ROC inokudityaniswa nayo Bollinger Iibhendi zokuchonga ukungazinzi kunye nokuqhambuka okunokwenzeka:

• Uhlalutyo lokuguquguquka: I-ROC ephezulu kunye nexabiso elichaphazela i-Bollinger Band ephezulu ingabonisa ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kunye neemeko ezinokuthi zibekho.
• Iimpawu zokuQhawuka: Utshintsho oluphawulekayo kwi-ROC oludityaniswe nexabiso eliqhekezayo nge-Bollinger Band lingabonakalisa umkhwa onamandla okanye ukuphuka.

5.4 I-ROC kunye neZalathi zoMqulu

Ukudibanisa i-ROC kunye nezalathi zevolumu ezifana ne-On-Balance Volume (OBV) inokuqinisekisa amandla eendlela:

• Ukuqinisekisa Ukunyuka: Ukunyuka kwe-ROC kunye nokunyuka kwe-OBV kunokuqinisekisa amandla e-uptrend.
• Ukuqinisekisa iDowntrends: I-ROC ehlayo kunye ne-OBV ehlayo inokuqinisekisa isantya se-downtrend.

6. ULawulo loMngcipheko nge-ROC Indicator

Ulawulo lomngcipheko olusebenzayo lubalulekile kurhwebo, kunye ne Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) isalathisi sinokuba yinxalenye yale nkqubo. I-ROC, ngokulinganisa umfutho, ibonelela ngeembono ezinokunceda ekulawuleni nasekunciphiseni umngcipheko. Nantsi indlela enokusetyenziswa ngayo:

6.1 Ukuseta iiodolo zeStop-Loss

I-ROC inokunceda ekusetheni ulwazi oluninzi stop-ilahleko imiyalelo:

• Ukuchonga amanqaku okubuyisela umva: Utshintsho oluphawulekayo kwi-ROC, njengokuhla ngokukhawuleza ukusuka kwindawo ephakamileyo, ingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga iindawo ezinokuthi ziguqulwe, apho ii-odolo zokulahlekelwa kokuyeka zingasetwa.
• Indawo zokumisa umkhondo: Njengoko i-ROC ibonisa amandla omzila, ingasetyenziselwa ukulungelelanisa ukumisa ukuhamba, ukufumana inzuzo ngelixa uvumela indawo yokuhamba kwexabiso.

6.2 Ubungakanani beNdawo

I-ROC inokuphembelela izigqibo malunga nobungakanani besikhundla, inceda ukulawula ukuvezwa komngcipheko:

• Imizila eyomeleleyo: Ngamaxesha esantya esinamandla (amaxabiso aphezulu e-ROC), traders inokonyusa ubungakanani bendawo, yenza imali kumandla omzila.
• Iindlela ezibuthathaka: Ngokwahlukileyo, ngexesha leendlela ezibuthathaka okanye ezingaqinisekanga (amaxabiso e-ROC aphantsi okanye ajikeleze i-zero), ukunciphisa ubungakanani bezikhundla kunokunceda ukulawula umngcipheko.

6.3 Izicwangciso-qhinga zokuHlanganisa

I-ROC inokusetyenziselwa ukujonga ixesha lee-asethi ezahlukeneyo, ezincedisayo ulwahlulo:

• Ukwabiwa kweAsethi: Ngokuthelekisa amaxabiso eROC ee-asethi ezahlukeneyo, traders banokuhlengahlengisa iphothifoliyo yabo ukunqanda ukuchanabeka ngokugqithisileyo kwii-asethi ezineprofayile ezifanayo.
• IiPotfoliyo zokulinganisa: Ukuqinisekisa ukuba ii-asethi ezineempawu ezahlukeneyo ze-ROC zibandakanyiwe zinokulinganisa umngcipheko kwipotfoliyo.

6.4 Ixesha lokungenela nokuPhuma

Ukusebenzisa i-ROC ukulungiselela ixesha trade amangeno kunye nokuphuma kusenokuba luhlobo lolawulo lomngcipheko:

• Amanqaku Okungena: Ukungena trades xa i-ROC ibonisa ukunyuka kwesantya kunokulungelelanisa neentshukumo ezinamandla zemarike.
• Amanqaku okuPhuma: Ukuphuma trades xa i-ROC iqala ukuhla inokunceda ekuthinteleni ilahleko enokubakho ukusuka ekuguqulweni kwendlela.

7. Intengisovantages kunye neMinyino yesalathisi seROC

The Ixabiso loTshintsho (ROC) isalathisi, njengazo zonke izixhobo zokuhlalutya zobugcisa, zineseti yayo eyodwa yamandla kunye nobuthathaka. Ukuziqonda ezi zinto kunokunceda traders basebenzisa i-ROC ngokufanelekileyo ngakumbi kuhlalutyo lwabo lwemarike.

7.1 Intengisovantages ye-ROC Isalathisi

I-ROC ibonelela ngeenzuzo ezininzi:

• Kulula ukuqonda: Ubalo oluthe ngqo lwe-ROC kunye nokutolika kwenza ukuba kufikeleleke kuyo traders yawo onke amanqanaba amava.
• Ukuhluka: Ingasetyenziswa kwiiklasi ezahlukeneyo ze-asethi nakwiimeko ezahlukeneyo zemarike, iyenza ibe sisixhobo esibhetyebhetye kwi traders.
• Ukuqonda okukhawulezileyo: Njenge isalathisi somzuzu, inika ulwazi oluxabisekileyo malunga nesantya kunye namandla okuhamba kwexabiso, inceda ekuchongeni umkhwa kunye nokuqinisekisa.
• Iimpawu zokuqala: I-ROC inokubonelela ngeempawu zakwangoko zokubuyela umva kwendlela, ukuvumela traders ukuphendula ngokukhawuleza.

7.2 Unyino lweSalathi seROC

Nangona kunjalo, i-ROC nayo inemida ethile:

• Uqhelene neMiqondiso yobuxoki: Ngokukodwa kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo, i-ROC inokuvelisa iimpawu zobuxoki, ezilahlekisayo traders.
• Ubume bokuLagging: Ukusekwe kumaxabiso adlulileyo, luphawu olusemva kwaye alunakusoloko luqikelela iintshukumo zemarike zexesha elizayo ngokuchanekileyo.
• Ukusabela ngokugqithisileyo kwiNgxolo yeMarike: Ngexesha elifutshane, i-ROC inokusabela ngokugqithisileyo kwiinguqu ezincinci zexabiso, ezikhokelela ekutolikeni okulahlekisayo.
• Ifuna isiqinisekiso: Ukunciphisa ukulinganiselwa kwayo, i-ROC isoloko ifuna ukusetyenziswa ngokubambisana nezinye izikhombisi zokuqinisekisa.