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Umngcipheko weNdawo yokubala

Umbhali: UFlorian Fendt
4.7 kwi 5 iinkwenkwezi (3 iivoti)

Impumelelo yokurhweba ayixhomekanga kuphela kwizicwangciso ezinenzuzo, kodwa ulawulo lomngcipheko olusebenzayo. Eyethu phambili Umngcipheko weNdawo yokubala ikunika umda wobalo olufunekayo ukukhusela inkunzi yakho yokurhweba kunye nokwakha ukukhula okuzinzileyo kwexesha elide.

Umngcipheko weNdawo yokubala

Bala umngcipheko wakho wokonakala - amathuba okuba ulahlekelwe yinkunzi yakho yokurhweba ngokusekwe kwiiparamitha zesicwangciso sakho.

Imbali yakho yokuphumelela ireyithi njengepesenti.
Ipesenti yeakhawunti esemngciphekweni nganye trade.
Umvuzo wakho oqhelekileyo kumlinganiselo womngcipheko (i-1.0 ithetha umngcipheko olinganayo kunye nomvuzo).
Ubuncinci bokutsalwa phantsi ocinga ukuba yintshabalalo.
Umngcipheko Wokonakala: --
Ixabiso elilindelekileyo ngoRhwebo ngalunye: --
Ilahleko Elandelelanayo Yokonakala: --
UVavanyo olunokwenzeka: --

Qaphela: Esi sibali-manani sibonelela ngoqikelelo lomngcipheko olusekwe kwiimodeli zamanani. Umngcipheko wentshabalalo ubalwa kusetyenziswa amathuba okufikelela kumda ochaziweyo wokutsalwa phantsi unikwe iiparamitha zakho zokurhweba. Umngcipheko ophantsi wamaxabiso omonakalo ubonisa isicwangciso sokurhweba esizinzileyo.

Ukuqonda iStatistics Advanced

  • Umba weNzuzo: Umlinganiselo wengeniso yengeniso kwilahleko iyonke. Ixabiso le-2.0 lithetha ukuphumelela kwakho trades yenza inzuzo ephindwe kabini kunelahleko yakho trades iindleko. Iimpawu ezingaphezulu kwe-1.5 zibhekwa njengelungileyo, ngelixa ixabiso elingaphantsi kwe-1.0 libonisa inkqubo yokulahlekelwa.
  • Umgaqo kaKelly: Ipesenteji yezibalo ye-akhawunti yakho kumngcipheko nge trade ukukhula okuphezulu kwexesha elide. Enyanisweni, abaninzi traders sebenzisa isiqingatha-Kelly (isiqingatha seli xabiso) kwindawo ekhuselekileyo. UKelly ongalunganga ucebisa ukuba le nkqubo inolindelo olubi.
  • Into yoBuyiselo: Umlinganiselo wokuba isixokelelwano sakho sinokukhawuleza kangakanani na ukuchacha ekutsalweni. Amaxabiso aphezulu abonisa ukomelela kwenkqubo enkulu. Amaxabiso angaphantsi kwe-1.0 acebisa ukuba semngciphekweni okuphezulu kwi-drawdowns, ngelixa ixabiso elingaphezulu kwe-5.0 libonisa ukukwazi ukubuyisela.
  • Ixabiso lokuphumelela elifunekayo: Ubuncinci bezinga lokuphumelela elifunekayo ukohlukana nomlinganiselo wakho wangoku womvuzo-kumngcipheko. Ukuba ireyithi yakho yokuphumelela igqithile kulo mqobo, inkqubo yakho inokulindela okulungileyo. Umzekelo, nge-2: 1 umvuzo-kumngcipheko, kufuneka uphumelele kuphela i-33.3% ye trades ukuqhekeza.

Yintoni uMngcipheko weNtshabalalo?

Umngcipheko weNtshabalalo umele ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba uphulukane nenxalenye ethile yenkunzi yakho yokurhweba. Ngokungafaniyo nesiseko sokubala ngenzuzo, esi sixhobo sibanzi sihlalutya iiparamitha zakho zokurhweba ukumisela ukuba nokwenzeka kweenkcukacha-manani ukufikelela kumlinganiselo wakho owamkelekileyo wokutsalela phantsi-ukunika ulwazi olubalulekileyo ngaphambi kokubeka umngcipheko wemali yokwenyani.

Iimpawu eziphambili zeKhatyhuleyitha yethu yoMngcipheko ekwiNgxaki

Ixesha lokwenyani loVavanyo loMngcipheko

Jonga njengoko iprofayile yakho yomngcipheko ihlaziywa ngoko nangoko njengoko uhlengahlengisa iiparamitha. Akusekho ukucofa amaqhosha "bala"-isixhobo sethu siyabonelela ingxelo ekhawulezileyo ngovavanyo lomngcipheko olunemibala:

  • Luhlaza -Umngcipheko ophantsi (ngaphantsi kwe-5%)
  • Lubhelu - Umngcipheko ophakathi (5-25%)
  • orenji - Umngcipheko ophezulu (25-50%)
  • Bomvu -Umngcipheko omkhulu (ngaphezu kwama-50%)

Iimetriki zokuRhweba zobuNgcali

Yenza izigqibo eziqhutywa yidatha ngeenkcukacha-manani zodidi lobuchwephesha:

  • Umngcipheko wepesenti yeNcithakalo -Amathuba akho okuba ubethe utsalo oluchaziweyo
  • Ixabiso elilindelekileyo ngoRhwebo ngalunye – Umndilili wenzuzo/ilahleko elindelekileyo kumntu ngamnye trade
  • Iilahleko ezilandelelanayo ngenxa yeNtshabalalo - Zingaphi iilahleko ezilandelelanayo ezinokubangela ukutsalwa okuphezulu
  • UVavanyo olunokwenzeka -Uvavanyo olucacileyo lwenqanaba lomngcipheko wakho

Izibalo zoRhwebo oluPhezulu

Ikhaltyhuleyitha yethu idlulela ngaphaya kwezinto ezisisiseko ukubandakanya iimetriki ezisetyenziswa ngabaphathi beengxowa-mali abaziingcali:

  • Inzuzo yeFactor – Umlinganiselo weenzuzo ezipheleleyo kwilahleko enkulu, ebonisa inzuzo yenkqubo
  • Kelly Criterion -Eyona ndawo iphezulu ngokwemathematika yokukhula kweakhawunti
  • Into yoBuyiselo -Inokukhawuleza kangakanani inkqubo yakho ukuchacha ekutsalweni
  • Kufuneka Win Rate -Ubuncinci bezinga lokuphumelela elifunekayo ngomlinganiselo wakho womngcipheko womvuzo

Interactive Parameter Adjustment

Lungisa indlela yakho yorhwebo ngala magalelo anokwenziwa ngokwezifiso:

  • WinRate -Ipesenti yakho yembali yokuphumelela trades
  • Umngcipheko ngoRhwebo ngalunye – Ipesenti yeakhawunti esemngciphekweni kwindawo nganye
  • Umvuzo:Umngcipheko weRati – Ingeniso engumndilili xa kuthelekiswa nomngcipheko wokuphumelela trades
  • Umda wokuYilwa kweAkhawunti – Ipesenti eyamkelekileyo yokutsalela phantsi

Kutheni abarhwebi abaziiNgcali bathembele kuMngcipheko woHlalutyo lweNdawo

Ukurhweba ngaphandle kokuqonda umngcipheko wakho wokonakala kufana nokuqhuba uvale amehlo. Nkqu neenkqubo zokurhweba ezinokulindela okuhle zinokusilela ukuba iiparamitha zomngcipheko azilinganiswanga kakuhle. Ikhaltyhuleyitha yethu iyakunceda:

  • Vavanya ukusebenza kwexesha elide kwesicwangciso sakho sokurhweba
  • Ukumisela indawo efanelekileyo yokulinganisa ukugcinwa kwenkunzi
  • Thelekisa iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokurhweba ngokufanelekileyo
  • Qonda ubudlelwane phakathi win rate, umngcipheko nge trade, kunye nomlinganiselo womngcipheko womvuzo
  • Yenza izigqibo ezisekelwe kwizibalo ezinokwenzeka kuneemvakalelo

IZibonelelo zokuRhweba ngeMfundo

I-metric nganye ibandakanya iinkcazo ezineenkcukacha zokuphucula ulwazi lwakho lokurhweba:

  • Hambisa phezu kwayo nayiphi na i-metric ukuze ufumane inkcazelo yengcebiso yesixhobo esikhawulezileyo
  • Funda iinkcazo ezibanzi zestatistiki nganye ephucukileyo
  • Funda indlela yobungcali traders sebenzisa ezi metrics ukugcina inkunzi
  • Qonda imigaqo yezibalo emva kolawulo oluyimpumelelo

Dibanisa neSicwangciso sakho sokuRhweba namhlanje

Nokuba uyi forex trader, stock investor, okanye cryptocurrency enthusiast, ulawulo umngcipheko olufanelekileyo kubalulekile kwimpumelelo yexesha elide. Umngcipheko wethu woKuchitha isibali sidityaniswa ngaphandle komthungo kunye nezinye izixhobo zokurhweba ezibandakanya iPip Calculator yethu, iDrawdown Calculator, kunye neCompounding Calculator.

Thatha uqikelelo ngaphandle kobungakanani bendawo kunye nolawulo lomngcipheko. Iakhawunti yakho yokurhweba iya kukubulela.

 

❔ Imibuzo edla ngokubuzwa

unxantathu sm ekunene
Uchane kangakanani uMngcipheko weNdawo yokubala?

Umngcipheko woKuchitha isibali-manani sibonelela ngoqikelelo oluvakalayo ngokweenkcukacha-manani olusekwe kwithiyori enokwenzeka kunye nezibalo zokurhweba. Nangona kunjalo, urhwebo lwehlabathi lokwenyani lubandakanya ukuntsonkotha kweemarike ezingabanjwanga ngamanani asulungekileyo. Ikhaltyhuleyitha ithatha ireyiti yakho yokuphumelela kwaye umlinganiselo womngcipheko womvuzo uhlala ungaguquguquki ekuhambeni kwexesha. Yisebenzise njengesikhokelo esinamandla kunesiqikelelo esipheleleyo.

unxantathu sm ekunene
Ngowuphi uMngcipheko olungileyo wepesenti yeNdawo?

Professional traders ngokuqhelekileyo ijolise kuMngcipheko weNtshabalalo ngaphantsi kwe-5% (eboniswe eluhlaza). Iipesenti phakathi kwe-5-25% (ephuzi) zibhekwa njengengozi ephakathi, ngelixa nantoni na ngaphezu kwe-25% ibonisa umngcipheko omkhulu wokutsalwa phantsi. Ukuba i-Risk of Ruin yakho ibonisa ngaphezulu kwe-50% (obomvu), kufuneka uqikelele ngokuqinileyo ukulungelelanisa iiparamitha zakho zokurhweba.

unxantathu sm ekunene
Ndingawunciphisa njani uMngcipheko wam weNtshabalalo?

Kukho iindlela ezininzi zokunciphisa uMngcipheko wakho weNtshabalalo:

  1. Yandisa izinga lokuphumelela kwakho ngokungcono trade ukhetho
  2. Nciphisa ipesenti emngciphekweni ngamnye trade
  3. Phucula umlinganiselo womvuzo wakho kumngcipheko ngokuvumela inzuzo iqhube kwaye unciphise ilahleko ibe mfutshane
  4. Yandisa umda owamkelekileyo wokutsalela phantsi (nangona oku kufuneka kwenziwe ngononophelo)

Ikhaltyhuleyitha ikuvumela ukuba uhlengahlengise ezi parameters ngexesha lokwenyani ukuze ufumane indibaniselwano efanelekileyo.

unxantathu sm ekunene
Yintoni umgaqo kaKelly?

Ikhrayitheriya ye-Kelly yifomula emisela eyona pesenti ilungileyo yeakhawunti yakho kumngcipheko kuyo nganye trade ukukhula okuphezulu kwexesha elide. Ithathela ingqalelo umda wakho (inqanaba lokuphumelela kunye nomngcipheko womngcipheko). Iingcali ezininzi traders basebenzisa i-'Half Kelly' (isiqingatha sepesenti ecetyiswayo) ukunciphisa ukuguquguquka ngelixa igcina ukukhula okulungileyo. UKelly ongalunganga ucebisa ukuba inkqubo yakho yokurhweba inolindelo olubi.

unxantathu sm ekunene
Ndingayisebenzisa le calculator kuyo nayiphi na imarike yorhwebo?

Ewe, iRisk of Ruin Calculator isebenza kuyo nayiphi na imarike yezemali-isitokhwe, i-forex, ikamva, i-crypto, okanye iinketho-kuba isekelwe kwimathematika yokurhweba jikelele kunezinto ezithe ngqo kwimarike. Ubalo lusebenza kuyo nayiphi na inkqubo yokurhweba apho unokumisela izinga lakho lokuphumelela, umngcipheko trade, kunye nomlinganiselo womngcipheko womvuzo.

Umbhali: UFlorian Fendt
Umtyali-mali onamabhongo kunye trader, uFlorian waseka BrokerCheck emva kokufunda ezoqoqosho eyunivesithi. Ukusukela ngo-2017 wabelana ngolwazi kunye nothando lwakhe kwiimarike zemali BrokerCheck.
Funda ngakumbi uFlorian Fendt
UFlorian-Fendt-Umbhali

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